• First and Thirty

    NFL betting, done brilliantly.

  • Recommended Wagers

    Week 12: No wagers. Full model available for download below.

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    We don't sell secrets.

    Most handicappers don't tell you how they make their picks.

     

    We've built a random forest model that regresses our in-house power rankings alongside weekly DVOA statistics against spreads for over 1,000 NFL games. The model's full output is available to download each week.

  • Analysis

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    More Posts
  • Results

    Through the end of the 2023 NFL season:

    W:175 L:155 T:7

    ROI: 1.2%

    ROI p5: -9.0%

    ROI p95: 11.5%