Super Bowl Recap: The Final Chapter

Welcome to the recap blog, where we’ll take a look at the results from our previous weeks bets, as well as keep a running season total of our win loss record. Week to week results aren’t important, but I always liked the idea of tracking our bets to see how the season is going as... Continue Reading →

Super Bowl Prob Bets That Don’t Suck

We don’t have a model for props, so this isn’t anything too official — my process is essentially to look at various projections and other stats to try to find value. With today being the last day of the football season, I thought we'd have fun and throw out some prop bets. The lines are... Continue Reading →

The Bucs Have Value at +3.5

We can debate about tenths of percentages on DVOA, exact positioning on power rankings, at the value of playing at home, but at the end of the day our model shows this game to be roughly a pick 'em. +2.5 would be reasonable; +3.5 is too far. Take the points and hoist the jolly roger.

Divisional Round Recap: The Dawg Pound

Welcome to the recap blog, where we’ll take a look at the results from our previous weeks bets, as well as keep a running season total of our win loss record. Week to week results aren’t important, but I always liked the idea of tracking our bets to see how the season is going as well as providing full transparency to our readers.

Recommended Wager: Cleveland (+10) over Kanas City

2020 is the year of the dogs, and we're taking the biggest dog of the weekend who has a section of their stands called "The Dawg Pound." Good luck trying to convince me that the model, which exclusively uses advanced NFL statistics and in-house power ranks, isn't actually just narrative hunting. Take the Browns +10 over the Chiefs.

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