NFL betting, done brilliantly
***Update 11/14 8:00AM. We're adding the Saints -5.5, which is still the consensus line. Write up to follow
| BUF @ MIA | 11/7 1:00PM |
| Wager: | BUF -5.5 |
| Cover Probability: | 57.81% |
| Cover Edge: | 10.36% |
| NO @ TB | 11/17 1:00PM |
| Wager | NO -5.5 |
| Cover Probability: | 52.61% |
| Cover Edge: | 0.43% |
| KC @ LAC | 11/18 8:15PM |
| Wager | KC -3.5 |
| Cover Probability: | 51.55% |
| Cover Edge: | -1.58% |
Lost all your money on Sunday? Never fear, we're jumping on the Chiefs bandwagon just as their offense is getting healthy, who are taking on the Chargers Monday Night in Mexico.
The model calls for a razor thin 0.43% edge betting the Saints, but read on here to find out why we're green lighting this game anyway.
After taking week 10 off, we're back to the gambling streets, which naturally means we're back to betting a Dolphins game. This time we're taking the Bills -5.5 on the road.
In this sad post, I detail why we aren't recommending any bets this week. There are more teams on bye this week (6) than any other week, and the model just couldn't find value anywhere. Sometimes you just have to watch from the sidelines.
Recapping a very boring week 9 that saw us betting just one game. Unfortunately, we lost that game. We're now sitting at 54% on the season.
Ah, we have a classic "bet it, don't watch it game. Just in case you're crazy enough to subject your eyes to the awfulness that is these football teams, I compiled a breakdown detailing where each team is at. Even if you don't read it, be nice and click on the headline so I feel better about the pageviews.
Unfortunately, the only game that the model likes. It gives a slight edge to Washington, but we really can't trust that with Dwayne Haskins under center. If you haven't been paying attention, Haskins is #bad at football.
| NJY @ MIA | 11/3 1:00pm |
| Wager: | NYJ -3.0 |
| Cover Probability: | 57.96% |
| Cover Edge: | 10.66% |
Week 8 was kind to us as we took down both of our bets. The model called on us to take the Dolphins and Redskins, and both of those sad excuses for a football team covered.
