CLE +10 over KC, Sunday at 3:05. Bet it, one unit.
Recommended Wager: Cleveland (+10) over Kanas City
2020 is the year of the dogs, and we're taking the biggest dog of the weekend who has a section of their stands called "The Dawg Pound." Good luck trying to convince me that the model, which exclusively uses advanced NFL statistics and in-house power ranks, isn't actually just narrative hunting. Take the Browns +10 over the Chiefs.
Bet these teams to top their divisions in 2021
While our domain here at First and Thirty falls squarely on football, we’re casual degenerates much like the rest of you, and casual degenerates don’t have many NFL wagers left to make this season. To give you something to root for this winter, you should bet on each of these NHL teams to claim the... Continue Reading →
Wildcard Round Recap: Saturday Yay, Sunday Nay
Welcome to the recap blog, where we’ll take a look at the results from our previous weeks bets, as well as keep a running season total of our win loss record. Week to week results aren’t important, but I always liked the idea of tracking our bets to see how the season is going as... Continue Reading →
Recommended Wagers: Sunday Slate
Taking a look at our Sunday bets, where we again expect the dogs to eat. We like the Titans (+3.0) over the Ravens and the Bears (+9.5) over the Saints.
Recommended Wagers: Saturday Slate
Examining our two Saturday bets, the Colts (+6.5) over the Bills and the Football Team (+8.5) over the Bucs. The model keeps feeding the dogs.
Bet the Saints to Win Super Bowl 55
Our recommendations for the playoffs are born from similar methodology found elsewhere on this site. Advanced NFL statistics are considered alongside our power rankings and a team’s playoff seed to model their probability of winning Super Bowl 55 (I’ve given up on the roman numerals). While we feel Kansas City stands the best shot of... Continue Reading →
Recommended Bets: Wild Card Weekend
Recommended bets for the week, based on the model's output. Full results for all games are here.
| Time | Matchup | Wager | Sizing |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAT 1:05PM | IND @ BUF | IND +6.5 | 1 unit |
| SAT 8:15PM | TB @ WAS | WAS +8.5 | 3 units |
| SUN 1:05PM | BAL @ TEN | TEN +3.0 | 1 unit |
| SUN 4:40PM | CHI @ NO | CHI +9.5 | 1 unit |
Week 17 Recap: Unlike The Eagles, We Did Not Tank
Welcome to the recap blog, where we’ll take a look at the results from our previous weeks bets, as well as keep a running season total of our win loss record. Week to week results aren’t important, but I always liked the idea of tracking our bets to see how the season is going as... Continue Reading →
Recommended Wager: 4PM Slate
We only have one 4PM game to bet on -- the Bears +5.5 over the Packers. As has been the theme of the week, this line also moved toward the model.
