NFL betting, done brilliantly
The NFL season is long gone. Quarantined and bored, I thought it would be interesting to take a look back at the 2019 season to see which teams were luckboxing into their 2019 win total, and which teams were unlucky as well.
Just fucking kidding. Do yourself a favor and watch paint dry instead of this sad excuse for a football game. That’s it for now, bitches.
| GB @ SF | 1/19 6:40PM |
| Wager: | GB +7.5 |
| Cover Probability: | 56.36% |
| Cover Edge: | 7.6% |
| TEN @ KC | 1/19 3:40PM |
| Wager | TEN +7.5 |
| Cover Probability: | 56.1% |
| Cover Edge: | 7.1% |
All 4 dogs, baby
| HOU @ KC | 1/12 3:05PM |
| Wager: | HOU +9.5 |
| Cover Probability: | 56.05% |
| Cover Edge: | 7.01% |
| TEN @ BAL | 1/11 8:15PM |
| Wager | TEN +9.5 |
| Cover Probability: | 55.6% |
| Cover Edge: | 6.15% |
| MIN @ SF | 1/11 4:35PM |
| Wager: | MIN +7 |
| Cover Probability: | 55.44% |
| Cover Edge: | 5.85% |
| SEA @ GB | 1/12 6:40PM |
| Wager: | SEA +4 |
| Cover Probability: | 55.32% |
| Cover Edge: | 5.61% |
| TEN @ NE | 1/4 8:15PM |
| Wager: | TEN +5 |
| Cover Probability: | 54.32% |
| Cover Edge: | 3.69% |
| MIN @ NOR | 1/5 1:05PM |
| Wager | MIN +7.5 |
| Cover Probability: | 53.9% |
| Cover Edge: | 2.9% |
| BUF @ HOU | 1/4 4:35PM |
| Wager: | BUF +2.5 |
| Cover Probability: | 53.85% |
| Cover Edge: | 2.81% |
| PHI @ SEA | 1/5 4:4PM |
| Wager | PHI +1.5 |
| Cover Probability: | 53.67% |
| Cover Edge: | 2.45% |
Recapping the last week of the season that ended up a very tilting loss and my bed covered in my own tears.
These teams show significant edges over bookmakers for Super Bowl LIV.
Part 2 of our breakdown discusses what's at stake for the Chiefs as well as me bragging about betting the Bears at +1.
Part 1 of two, breaking down the Seahawks getting 3.5 points on Sunday Night Football and the Panthers getting 13 against the Saints.
