Official Super Bowl Recommendation

The day has arrived. It is officially time to make our Super Bowl pick. Depending on the book you checked, the line either opened at a pick em or the Rams as a slight favorite. However, the public immediately hammered the Patriots and the line shifted swiftly to New England -2.5. Our model thinks Vegas had it right at the opening line, and the public is wrong.

Prop Bets That Don’t Suck

Ah, prop bets. These are easily the most fun bets to make. You find yourself rooting for oddities throughout the game, and it just makes watching that much more enjoyable. We at FirstandThirty are a big proponent of being hard core degenerates. With that in mind, I thought I'd share some prop bets I'm looking... Continue Reading →

Championship Round Recap

What a Sunday. What a fucking Sunday. With both games featuring four of the best offenses in the league and both games within a 3 point spread, we knew we had something special in the works. But both games going into OT with both road dogs taking the win? Football is simply the best. From... Continue Reading →

Championship Round: We Got Nada

Just a quick blog to state the obvious. As you can see by checking the model page, we don't see any value in betting either spread. The model just went out and called the exact spread for both games. I am still following things closely. The injury page is up to date. In the Super... Continue Reading →

Wildcard Recap: All Hail The Wong

This week was a bit different, since we recommended a wong teaser - the logic behind that is explained here. The recap is used to track progress on how our bets are doing throughout the season. Since it's virtually impossible to count things like moneylines and teasers into a record, we count these bets exclusively... Continue Reading →

Indianapolis +1.5 over Houston

The model likes the Colts +1.5 over the Texans in a game that projects to be a showdown between Andrew Luck and Deshaun Watson. Both defenses are stout against the run but are generous against the pass. It’s no surprise that this game has the highest total of the weekend.

Recommended Wagers- Wildcard Round

In addition to an against-the-spread wager on IND +1.5, we recommend a three leg Wong teaser for the model's top teams, resulting in IND +7.5, LAC +8.5, SEA +7.5.

IND +1.5

IND @ HOU 01/05 4:35 PM
Model: 2.828
Vegas: -1.5
Differential: 4.328
Wager: IND 1.5

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