NFL betting, done brilliantly
Recommended bets for the week, based on the model's output. Full results for all games are here.
| Time | Matchup | Wager | Sizing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thanksgiving 12:30PM | HOU @ DET | DET +3.0 | 1 unit |
| Thanksgiving 4:30PM | WAS @ DAL | WAS +3.0 | 1 unit |
| SUN 1:00PM | LAC @ BUF | BUF -5.5 | 1 unit |
| SUN 1:00PM | LV @ ATL | ATL +3.0 | 1 unit |
| SUN 1:00PM | CLE @ JAX | JAX +6.5 | 1 unit |
| SUN 4:00PM | NO @ DEN | NO -6.0 | 2 units |
| SUN 4:25PM | KC @ TB | TB +3.5 | 3 units |
| SNF 8:20PM | CHI @ GB | CHI +8.5 | 1 unit |
The model believes an edge exists in two of the three Thanksgiving Day games. In case you needed an excuse to make the Holiday's more stressful, here's how you should attack it.
Welcome to the recap blog, where we’ll take a look at the results from our previous weeks bets, as well as keep a running season total of our win loss record. Week to week results aren’t important, but I always liked the idea of tracking our bets to see how the season is going as well as providing full transparency to our readers.
Apologies for the late post here -- we added in a recommended bet based on some line movement that we believe open up value. This post takes a quick look at the game and how to handle betting it depending on which number you have available to you.
Betting against Mahomes and the Chiefs sounds like a form of torture. But alas, we trust our model. Give me the Raiders with the points.
This blog examines the Dolphins (-3.5) over the Broncos. The 3.5 point hook is never fun, but betting against the Broncos offense is usually a treat.
This one takes a look at the Texans (+2.0) over New England. The model likes the better quarterback at home getting points. Who am I to argue?
With week 10 in the books and most of the injury news being reported, we take a look at what happened and how it impacts each team moving forward.
Welcome to the recap blog, where we’ll take a look at the results from our previous weeks bets, as well as keep a running season total of our win loss record. Week to week results aren’t important, but I always liked the idea of tracking our bets to see how the season is going as well as providing full transparency to our readers.
Recommended bets for the week, based on the model's output. Full results for all games are here.
| Time | Matchup | Wager | Sizing |
|---|---|---|---|
| SUN 1:00PM | NE @ HOU | HOU +2.0 | 1 unit |
| SUN 4:25PM | MIA @ DEN | MIA -3.5 | 1 unit |
| SNF 8:20PM | KC @ LV | LV +7.0 | 1 unit |
As of Sunday morning, the consensus line for Minnesota out of Las Vegas has shifted to -7.0; we recommend taking the wager at this price.
