Welcome to the recap blog. Weekly results don’t matter, but we want to track how we did and keep up to date stats, so we’ll use this space to see what happened. It’s always interesting to look at both your wins and loses and see what happened in the game — some bad calls or injuries to your team can sway things massively. Let’s get into it.
New England @ Washington
Recommended bet: NE -15.5
Cover Probability: 56.52%
Cover Edge: 7.72%
This one didn’t get off to the best start, as New England was up just 12 – 7 after a first half. The good news was Washington predictably couldn’t do a damn thing offensively, and their only score was a long Steven Sims 65 yard touchdown that was littered with uncharacteristically poor tackling from the New England defense. We clearly weren’t going to lose this game because of the Patriots defense, so the only question was if Tom Terrific would deliver in the second half.
Brady ended up throwing the ball 42 times, completing 67% of his passes, 348 yards, and 3 TDs. Julian Edelman was basically unstoppable, racking up 8 catches for 110 yards and a score, and the ground game got going behind Sony Michel, who averaged 5.7 yards per carry with a score of his own. New England went on to score 21 unanswered in the second half, and that was more than enough for us.
Final score: New England 33, Washington 7
Arizona @ Cincinnati
Recommended bet: ARI +3.5
Cover Probability: 54.54%
Cover Edge: 4.13%
While I was laughing at myself for temporarily questioning if the Patriots would actually score enough to cover, Arizona was keeping up just fine with Cincinnati. In fact, they were up 13 – 6 at the end of the half. Since we had them at +3.5, I was feeling confident. Perhaps too confident. The mimosas and beers were flowing, and I temporarily forgot that the Cardinals actually suck.
Easy there, twitter fingers.
All of the sudden, the Red Rocket puts together a 10 play, 79 yard drive that was capped off with a 2 yard pass to Auden Tate. After a 3 and out from Arizona, Tyler Boyd took an Andy Dalton pass 42 yards to the house. All of the sudden it’s 23 – 23 with 2 minutes left. I was having nightmares of Bengals OT touchdowns to kill us. DO NOT LET THIS HAPPEN.
They didn’t. Kyler Murray killed quite literally the rest of the clock. After a Zane Gonzalez field goal, there was no need for overtime.
Final score: Arizona 36, Cincinnati 23
That’s it for now, bitches.