Week 16 Recap: Merry Christmas, We Lost

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Welcome to the recap blog. Weekly results don’t matter, but we want to track how we did and keep up to date stats, so we’ll use this space to see what happened. It’s always interesting to look at both your wins and loses and see what happened in the game — some bad calls or injuries to your team can sway things massively.

This week just featured a single bet. And we lost. Let’s have a look:

Baltimore @ Cleveland
Recommended Bet: CLE +10
Cover Probability: 55.15%
Cover Edge: 5.28%

A lot of people probably look at this bet and think we’re insane. Which is true, but that’s not at all because of the bet we made. Truth be told, if I didn’t have a model this is the exact type of bet I’d go after. Divisional game, massive home dog, where one team is perceived by the public to be a monster and the other a disaster? Sign me up.

We actually looked pretty solid early, but then the Ravens strung together a few quick touchdowns in the 2nd half, and the Browns couldn’t get anything going.

Final score: Baltimore 31, Cleveland 15

2019 YTD: 18 – 15 (54%)
Week 16: Merry Christmas, We Lost (0-1)
Week 15: Back in Action (2-1)
Week 14: No Action (0-0)
Week 13: Tiltsgiving (0-2)
Week 12: No Action (0-0)
Week 11: Our Win Rate is Unsustainable (3-0)
Week 10: No Action (0-0)
Week 9: We Bet One Game. We Lost One Game (0-1)
Week 8: Betting Crap Teams Pays Off, Apparently (2-0)
Week 7: The Chargers Killed Our Perfect Week (3-1)
Week 6: The Money Train Has Been Temporarily Derailed (0-2)
Week 5: Back on Track (2-0)
Week 4: I hate Kellen Moore (1-1)
Week 3: The Tilt is Real (1-3)
Week 2: Is 0-3 bad? (0-3)
Week 1: Is 4-0 bad? (4-0)

That’s it for now, bitches.

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