Welcome to the recap blog, where we’ll take a look at the results from our previous weeks bets, as well as keep a running season total of our win loss record. Week to week results aren’t important, but I always liked the idea of tracking our bets to see how the season is going. Let’s get into it:
Pittsburgh (-7.5) over Denver
Line watching this one gave me a fairly uncomfortable feeling, as we saw this one cross 7 with zero significant injury news after making our bet. That’s never ideal, but as the model’s favorite bet we marched forward.
If you paid even the slightest attention to week 2, you likely noticed a slew of injuries that impacted a bunch of different games. Broncos QB Drew Lock, who this website has described as “sucky” (technical term), was injured midway through the first quarter and could not return. That forced backup QB Jeff Driskel into the action, and god dammit he played annoyingly well. Despite playing a dominant Steelers defensive line (they pressured Lock/Driskel on 60% of drop backs), Driskel still averaged 7.5 yards per attempt and threw two TDs. Meanwhile, Ben Roethlisberger had a mostly up and down game. I thought we might get a lucky cover after James Connor broke free with 1:47 to go, but he was tackled at the Denver 10. With zero incentive to score, the Steelers were able to take a knee and end the game.
Final score: Pittsburgh 26, Denver 21
Tampa Bay (-9.0) over Carolina
When targeting this game, I thought there was a good chance WR Chris Godwin would be able to clear concussion protocol since he received the concussion early in the week. Unfortunately, that didn’t happen and the Bucs had to play without one of their star receivers. Fortunately for us, the Panthers defense sucks something awful and the Bucs were able to bounce back after an ugly week 1 to drop a 31 burger on the Panthers. We were actually in danger of not covering, but a Leonard Fournette 46 yard TD run sealed it.
Final score: Tampa Bay 31, Carolina 17
Arizona (-6.5) over Washington
This bet was another example of the model fading overreaction week 1 takes, effectively ignoring the Football Teams stellar defensive performance against the Eagles. I wrote in the preview blog about the FT’s stellar defensive line, but questioned if they had the secondary that could slow down the impressive Cardinals receivers. DeAndre Hopkins hauled in 8 of his 9 targets for 68 yards and a touchdown, and old man Fitzy took in all 7 of his targets. Meanwhile, the running game was able to gain 5 yards per carry over 32 total attempts on their way to scoring 30 points. The Football Team simply doesn’t have an offense that can match that.
Final score: Arizona 30, Washington 15
YTD Record: 5-2
Week 2: The Favorites Deliver (2-1)
Week 1: A Win, Despite Carson Wentz’s best efforts (3-1)