Divisional Round Recap: The Dawg Pound

Welcome to the recap blog, where we’ll take a look at the results from our previous weeks bets, as well as keep a running season total of our win loss record. Week to week results aren’t important, but I always liked the idea of tracking our bets to see how the season is going as well as providing full transparency to our readers.

Cleveland @ Kansas City
Recommended Wager: CLE +10
Strength: 2.79
Sizing: 1 unit

Of the four games played this weekend, this is the one the model found value in. The line stuck at 10 for most of the week, but then went down to 9.5 on Saturday before closing at 8 on Sunday. As we’re into the playoffs and there’s more and more bets coming in late, it’s more important than ever to get your damn bets in early.

We got off to a pretty rough start with this one, with the Chiefs jumping out to a 19-3 lead at the half. Despite the score, the Browns were actually moving the ball well. Their three first half drives went like this
-A Baker Mayfield sack forces the Browns to settle for a field goal
-A Wyatt Teller hold nullifies a big reception and forces a punt
-In a play that originated at the Kansas City 1, Rashad Riggins fumbles out of the end zone. A helmet to helmet hit should have been called on the Chiefs.

Getting just 3 points out of that is an awful result, but also an encouraging sign. Sure enough, in the second half the Browns offense was able to put up two touchdowns. Meanwhile, The Chiefs then lost Pat Mahomes due to a concussion, which naturally hurt their chances on offense. With Kansas City only able to put up 3 second half points, we were able to cover.

Final score: Kansas City 22, Cleveland 17
Result: Won 1 unit

YTD Record: 46-34-3 (57.5%)
Divisional Round: The Dawg Pound (1-0, won 1 unit)
Wildcard Round: Saturday Yay, Sunday Nay (2-2, won 2 units)
Week 17: Unlike The Eagles, We Did Not Tank (3-2, won 2 units)
Week 16: An Oddly Quiet Week (1-0-1, won 1 unit)
Week 15: Sneaking in the Backdoor (3-2-1, won 2 units)
Week 14: The Big Bets Take It (4-3, won 4 units)
Week 13: We Took A Hike (0-0)
Week 12: Mayhem Prevails (6-2, won 7 units)
Week 11: The 4PM Slate Was Mean (2-2, won 0 units)
Week 10: Thank You, Steelers (4-2-1, won 3 units)
Week 9: The Swongs Are Real (3-4, lost 2 units)
Week 8: Damn You, Jared Goff (1-2)
Week 7: Back in Black (5-1)
Week 6: Even Steven (2-2)
Week 5: Saved by Monday Night Overtime (2-2)
Week 4: We’re in the Red (1-3)
Week 3: Bullshit DPI Calls and a Big L for Us (2-4)
Week 2: The Favorites Deliver (2-1)
Week 1: A Win, Despite Carson Wentz’s best efforts (3-1)

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