Recommended Bets: Week 8

The model also likes the Seahawks over the Falcons, but that game is mostly not available at most books because of the Matt Ryan injury. Recommending it feels disingenuous, so we simply won't.

WAS +16.0



WAS @ MIN10/24 8:20pm
Wager:WAS +16.0
Cover Probability:53.68%
Cover Edge:2.48%

Miami +14.5


MIA @ PIT10/28 8:15pm
WagerMIA +14.5
Cover Probability:55.15%
Cover Edge:5.29%

Recommended Bets: Week 7

Miami +17.0


MIA @ BUF10/20 1:00pm
WagerMIA +17.0
Cover Probability:60.37%
Cover Edge:15.25%

Los Angeles Rams -3.0



LAR @ ATL10/20 1:00pm
Wager:LAR -3.0
Cover Probability:55.38%
Cover Edge:5.72%

New Orleans Saints +3.0



NO @ CHI10/20 4:25pm
Wager:NO +3.0
Cover Probability:53.70%
Cover Edge:2.52%

Los Angeles Chargers +2.0



LAC @ TEN10/20 4:05pm
Wager:LAC +2.0
Cover Probability:53.66%
Cover Edge:2.45%

High Dimensional Space

Some of my otherwise most ardent supporters recently called out the model for its somewhat nonconventional and seemingly inconsistent attitudes towards the Dolphins of Miami.  Last week, the fish traveled to Dallas as 20-something point underdogs and the model instructed us to go wide open throttle.  This week, we’ve got Miami at home against LAC... Continue Reading →

A High Level Overview of the Model

Rather than simply posting a table with what might perceived to be made up numbers, I thought it might be helpful to give a high level overview of how the model works. In the simplest terms possible, the model takes a bunch of “predictors” (called independent variables) and works some mathemagical wizardry (called a support... Continue Reading →

Recommended Wagers- Wildcard Round

In addition to an against-the-spread wager on IND +1.5, we recommend a three leg Wong teaser for the model's top teams, resulting in IND +7.5, LAC +8.5, SEA +7.5.

IND +1.5

IND @ HOU 01/05 4:35 PM
Model: 2.828
Vegas: -1.5
Differential: 4.328
Wager: IND 1.5

Recommended Wagers- Week 17

SEA -13.5



ARI @ SEA12/30 4:25 PM
Model:-17.615
Vegas:-13.5
Differential:-4.115
Wager:SEA -13.5

CHI +4.5



CHI @ MIN12/30 4:25 PM
Model:-1.592
Vegas:-4.5
Differential:2.908
Wager:CHI 4.5

LAR -10.0



SF @ LAR12/30 4:25 PM
Model:-13.246
Vegas:-10
Differential:-3.246
Wager:LAR -10.0

Recommended Wagers- Week 16

HOU +2.5

HOU @ PHI12/23 1:00 PM
Model:2.796
Vegas:-2.5
Differential:5.296
Wager:HOU 2.5

CHI -4.0

CHI @ SF12/23 4:05 PM
Model:10.304
Vegas:4
Differential:6.304
Wager:CHI -4.0

DEN -2.5

DEN @ OAK12/24 8:15 PM
Model:9.355
Vegas:2.5
Differential:6.855
Wager:DEN -2.5

Recommended Wagers- Week 15

Saturday morning recommendation.

DEN -2.5

CLE @ DEN12/15 8:20 PM
Model:-10.925
Vegas:-2.5
Differential:-8.425
Wager:DEN -2.5

SEA -3.5

SEA @ SF12/16 4:05 PM
Model:9.076
Vegas:3.5
Differential:5.576
Wager:SEA -3.5

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