Welcome to the recap blog. Weekly results are a silly thing to track -- the small sample and high variance nature of the NFL makes them totally irrelevant. However, it's always fun looking back at how the games went, and I like to see where we had closing line value. For a more technical overview of our results, check the results page.
The final 2021 recap can be read here, which includes links to all other recaps.
2021 sides record: 33-25
2021 prop bets record: 72-65, +14.41 units
As we begin the 2023 football season, I realized that I never actually provided a recap for the Super Bowl. There isn't much of a reason to actually review a game that happened 7 months ago, but I'd still like to have the bets listed for easy record keeping.
Philadelphia Eagles vs Kansas City Chiefs (KC +2.0)
Line closed: PHI -1.5, line moved slightly toward the model.
As I'm sure you've heard, the Chiefs won 38-35.
Result: WIN
Props:
Jalen Hurts o235.5 passing yards -120 (PointBet): Hurts threw for 304 yards. WIN +1 unit
Miles Sanders u61.5 rushing yards -104 (Caesars): Sanders rushed for 16 yards. WIN +1 unit
Skky Moore o7.5 receiving yards -110 (BetMGM): Moore had 4 yards receiving. LOSS -1.1 units
Props recap: 2-1, +0.9 units
Previous recaps:
Week 1: Lines Move Toward the Model
Week 2: Our First Back Door Cover
Week 3: Win by Fading the Giants
Week 4: Lose by Fading the Giants
Week 5: Comeback Starts Next Week
Week 6: The Comeback Did Not Start This Week
Week 7: Monday Night Was No Fun
Week 8: 10.5 is a Lot of Fucking Points
Week 9: Clean Sweep
Week 10: An Ugly Week Puts us Back at .500
Week 11: Ouch Town, Population Us
Week 12: Look At That, We Won
Week 13: Cute Comeback Tom, but It Only Counts If You Cover
Week 14: An Average Week
Week 15: When Final Drives Go Against Us
Week 16: Gross
Week 17: Thinking of Damar Hamlin
Week 18: We Bet One Game, We Won One Game
Wildcard Weekend: Call it a Comeback
Divisional Round: The Dogs Prevail
Conference Championship Recap: Props Win
Sides record:
Week 1: 4-3
Week 2: 2-2
Week 3: 4-3
Week 4: 3-5
Week 5: 2-3-1
Week 6: 1-4
Week 7: 2-3
Week 8: 3-3
Week 9: 7-0
Week 10: 2-4
Week 11: 1-6
Week 12: 4-3
Week 13: 4-3
Week 14: 4-4
Week 15: 3-4-1
Week 16: 1-4-1
Week 17: 4-1
Week 18: 1-0
Wildcard Weekend: 2-1
Divisional Weekend: 2-0
Conference Championship: 0-0
Super Bowl 1-0
Season total: 57-53-3
Props record:
Week 1: 6-3, +3.25 units
Week 2: 6-4, +1.7 units
Week 3: 3-7, -4.08 units
Week 4: 5-7 -2.56 units
Week 5: 4-6, -2.09 units
Week 6: 6-4, +2.41 units
Week 7: 6-5, +0.97 units
Week 8: 6-5 +0.84 units
Week 9: 4-6, -2.4 units
Week 10: 3-8 -5.63 units
Week 11: 6-6, -0.78
Week 12: 8-5, +2.8 units
Week 13: 8-3, +5.01 units
Week 14: 8-6, +1.86 units
Week 15: 4-8, -4.7 units
Week 16: 6-8, -2.85 units
Week 17: 8-8, -0.74 units
Week 18: 7-3, +3.6 units
Wildcard Weekend: 10-3, +6.9 units
Divisional Weekend: 6-6, -0.3 units
Conference Championship: 5-1, +4.35 units
Super Bowl: 2-1, +0.9 units
Season total: 127-111, +8.46 units