Welcome to the recap blog. Weekly results are a silly thing to track -- the small sample and high variance nature of the NFL makes them totally irrelevant. However, I do feel it's important to have an easy place to track all our bets, where we can easily see how we're performing over a larger sample size.
This was probably my worst week gambling ever. Everything went horribly. It's one of those weeks that makes me thing if I was a normal person with real people feelings who didn't trust the process, I'd quit. But I'm none of those things, so we'll march on. Unfortunately, these weeks will happen to any handicapper.
New Orleans (+5.5) over Buffalo
Trevor Siemian and Josh Allen conspired to ruin my Thanksgiving.
Final score: Buffalo 31, New Orleans 6 (lost 2 units)
Jacksonville (Pick Em) over Atlanta
Cordarrelle Patterson (16 carries, 108 yards, 2 TDs) decided to come back from his high ankle sprain to murder my hopes and dreams. The Jaguars played like they're the Jaguars. This ended up being a 7 point game, but it never felt like the Jags had enough to win.
Final score: Atlanta 21, Jacksonville 14 (lost 2 units)
Pittsburgh (+4.5) over Cincinnati
Pittsburgh sucks. Ben is washed. What a trainwreck.
Final score: Cincinnati 41, Pittsburgh 10 (lost 1 unit)
Seattle (+1.0) over Washington
Fuck you, Russell Wilson. I guess I can take solace in the fact that Seattle closed as a 1 point favorite? Whatver, we lost again.
Final score: Washington 15, Seattle 15 (lost 1 unit)
Props bets (if on mobile, rotate your phone):
Units are calculated as follows: each prop has a 1 unit wager on it. If the wager has dog odds (i.e., the line column has a positive number), then we're risking 1 unit to win the line divided by 100. If the wager is a favorite (i.e., the line column has a negative number), we're risking the line divided by 100 to win 1 unit. Whatever a "unit," is for you, multiply that by 7.6, and that's how much you would have lost tailing these bets. If you're interested in getting into the prop game, always check this site so you can easily compare lines across multiple books to get the best price.
Sides recommendations:
Week 1: Jameis Preserves the Even Week (2-2, even)
Week 2: Thanks for Fumbling, Clyde (3-1, +4 units)
Week 3: We Lost Every Bet (0-2, -4 units)
Week 4: Monday Night Fucked Us (2-1, even)
Week 5: It's Raining On First And Thirty (0-2, -2 units)
Week 6: We Bet One Game. We Lost One Game (0-1, -1 unit)
Week 7: Houston Sucks, Apparently (1-1, +1 unit)
Week 8: When the Dogs Win Outright (2-1, +3 units)
Week 9: Both Dogs Won Outright, Again (2-0, +3 units)
Week 10: Props Only (0-0, even)
Week 11: A Wild Sunday Prevents a Winless Week (1-2, lost 2 units)
Week 12: Ouchtown, Population Us (0-4, lost 6 units)
Season total: 13-17, -4 units
Props recommendations:
Week 10: Props Only (10-4, +8.02 units)
Week 11: A Wild Sunday Prevents a Winless Week (5-8, lost 3.74 units)
Week 12: Ouchtown, Population Us (4-11, lost 7.6 units)
Season total: 19-23, -3.32 units