Welcome to the recap blog. Weekly results are a silly thing to track -- the small sample and high variance nature of the NFL makes them totally irrelevant. However, it's always fun looking back at how the games went, and I like to see where we had closing line value.
New Orleans (+1.5) @ Atlanta
Power rankings: NO 6, ATL 20
Closing line: ATL -2.5, line moved away from the model
Result: LOSS
Philadelphia @ Tampa Bay (+2.5)
Power rankings: PHI 15, TB 14
Closing line: PHI -1, line moved toward the model
Result: WIN
Minnesota (+2.5) @ Green Bay
Power rankings: MIN 11, GB 22
Closing line: GB -2.5, line stayed the same
Result: WIN
Buffalo (+2.5) @ Baltimore
Power rankings: BUF 1, BAL 3
Closing line: BAL -2.5, line stayed the same
Result: LOSS
ATS recap: 2-2 week, 1 line moved against us, 1 line moved toward us, 2 lines stayed the same. We had as easy win in Tampa (Bucs won outright 33-16), a relatively easy win in Minny (Vikings won outright 31-29), a blow out loss with the Bills (Ravens won 35-10), and a .5 point loss with the Saints (they lost 26-24). About as even as you can get, a real Jerry Seinfeld week.
Props recap: I must confess, I have no clue what happened to the props this week. I wrote the aritcle and posted it on Friday like I normally do. It clearly never got posted, and for some reason it isn't even saved in drafts. We move on
Sides record:
Week 1: 4-3
Week 2: 2-2
Week 3: 1-0
Week 4: 2-2
Total: 9-7
Props record:
Week 1: 5-4, +0.43 units
Week 2: 2-5 -2.95 units
Week 3: 5-3, +1.23 units
Week 4: 0-0, even
Total: 12-12, -1.19 units