Divisional Round Recap: The Dawg Pound

Welcome to the recap blog, where we’ll take a look at the results from our previous weeks bets, as well as keep a running season total of our win loss record. Week to week results aren’t important, but I always liked the idea of tracking our bets to see how the season is going as well as providing full transparency to our readers.

Recommended Wager: Cleveland (+10) over Kanas City

2020 is the year of the dogs, and we're taking the biggest dog of the weekend who has a section of their stands called "The Dawg Pound." Good luck trying to convince me that the model, which exclusively uses advanced NFL statistics and in-house power ranks, isn't actually just narrative hunting. Take the Browns +10 over the Chiefs.

Recommended Bets: Divisional Round

All 4 dogs, baby

Houston +9.5



HOU @ KC1/12 3:05PM
Wager:HOU +9.5
Cover Probability:56.05%
Cover Edge:7.01%

Tennessee +9.5


TEN @ BAL1/11 8:15PM
WagerTEN +9.5
Cover Probability:55.6%
Cover Edge:6.15%

Minnesota +7



MIN @ SF1/11 4:35PM
Wager:MIN +7
Cover Probability:55.44%
Cover Edge:5.85%

Seattle +4.0



SEA @ GB1/12 6:40PM
Wager:SEA +4
Cover Probability:55.32%
Cover Edge:5.61%

Wildcard Recap: All Hail The Wong

This week was a bit different, since we recommended a wong teaser - the logic behind that is explained here. The recap is used to track progress on how our bets are doing throughout the season. Since it's virtually impossible to count things like moneylines and teasers into a record, we count these bets exclusively... Continue Reading →

Indianapolis +1.5 over Houston

The model likes the Colts +1.5 over the Texans in a game that projects to be a showdown between Andrew Luck and Deshaun Watson. Both defenses are stout against the run but are generous against the pass. It’s no surprise that this game has the highest total of the weekend.

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