NFL betting, done brilliantly
In this sad post, I detail why we aren't recommending any bets this week. There are more teams on bye this week (6) than any other week, and the model just couldn't find value anywhere. Sometimes you just have to watch from the sidelines.
The model wants the massive underdogs this week, and we start things off with the Redskins +16 over the Vikings on Thursday night. Please keep your Kirk Cousins revenge game narratives at home.
Some of my otherwise most ardent supporters recently called out the model for its somewhat nonconventional and seemingly inconsistent attitudes towards the Dolphins of Miami. Last week, the fish traveled to Dallas as 20-something point underdogs and the model instructed us to go wide open throttle. This week, we’ve got Miami at home against LAC... Continue Reading →
Rather than simply posting a table with what might perceived to be made up numbers, I thought it might be helpful to give a high level overview of how the model works. In the simplest terms possible, the model takes a bunch of “predictors” (called independent variables) and works some mathemagical wizardry (called a support... Continue Reading →
The model thinks 22 point spreads are silly. We're backing the dogs in a big way this week, starting with the Dolphins over the Cowboys.
Each week the model picks a game that makes you cringe. This is that game. We're looking for the Skins to keep it within 5 at home against the Cowboys.
The model loves the Raiders +8 over the Chiefs. That may seem absurd given the state of both teams, but who doesn't like a team getting more than a touchdown at home?
Make yourself less miserable by betting this game, and of course, reading my matchup column.
/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_image/image/65172663/873377374.jpg.0.jpg?resize=600%2C9999&ssl=1 "Breakdown: LA Rams (-2.5) @ Carolina")
The model laughs at the Rams only getting 2.5 points to the Panthers. In this article, I admire the Rams offense and take time to examine if Aaron Donald is human (he isn't).
