2019 Lookback: Luckbox Donkies

The NFL season is long gone. Quarantined and bored, I thought it would be interesting to take a look back at the 2019 season to see which teams were luckboxing into their 2019 win total, and which teams were unlucky as well.

High Dimensional Space

Some of my otherwise most ardent supporters recently called out the model for its somewhat nonconventional and seemingly inconsistent attitudes towards the Dolphins of Miami.  Last week, the fish traveled to Dallas as 20-something point underdogs and the model instructed us to go wide open throttle.  This week, we’ve got Miami at home against LAC... Continue Reading →

A High Level Overview of the Model

Rather than simply posting a table with what might perceived to be made up numbers, I thought it might be helpful to give a high level overview of how the model works. In the simplest terms possible, the model takes a bunch of “predictors” (called independent variables) and works some mathemagical wizardry (called a support... Continue Reading →

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