NFL betting, done brilliantly
Some of my otherwise most ardent supporters recently called out the model for its somewhat nonconventional and seemingly inconsistent attitudes towards the Dolphins of Miami. Last week, the fish traveled to Dallas as 20-something point underdogs and the model instructed us to go wide open throttle. This week, we’ve got Miami at home against LAC... Continue Reading →
Rather than simply posting a table with what might perceived to be made up numbers, I thought it might be helpful to give a high level overview of how the model works. In the simplest terms possible, the model takes a bunch of “predictors” (called independent variables) and works some mathemagical wizardry (called a support... Continue Reading →
The model thinks 22 point spreads are silly. We're backing the dogs in a big way this week, starting with the Dolphins over the Cowboys.
Each week the model picks a game that makes you cringe. This is that game. We're looking for the Skins to keep it within 5 at home against the Cowboys.
The model loves the Raiders +8 over the Chiefs. That may seem absurd given the state of both teams, but who doesn't like a team getting more than a touchdown at home?
Make yourself less miserable by betting this game, and of course, reading my matchup column.
/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_image/image/65172663/873377374.jpg.0.jpg?resize=600%2C9999&ssl=1 "Breakdown: LA Rams (-2.5) @ Carolina")
The model laughs at the Rams only getting 2.5 points to the Panthers. In this article, I admire the Rams offense and take time to examine if Aaron Donald is human (he isn't).
Our second bet of the week is the Texans getting 7 points on the road against the Saints. Make your Monday Night more interesting by betting this game and reading this write up.
Here we have a fantastic offense (Kansas City) vs a fantastic defense (Jacksonville), and a shitty offense (Jacksonville) vs a shitty defense (Kansas City). Read along as I start with the exciting side of the matchup and slowly become depressed as I write how things will look when Jacksonville has the ball.
