Official Super Bowl Recommendation

The day has arrived. It is officially time to make our Super Bowl pick. Depending on the book you checked, the line either opened at a pick em or the Rams as a slight favorite. However, the public immediately hammered the Patriots and the line shifted swiftly to New England -2.5. Our model thinks Vegas had it right at the opening line, and the public is wrong.

Wildcard Recap: All Hail The Wong

This week was a bit different, since we recommended a wong teaser - the logic behind that is explained here. The recap is used to track progress on how our bets are doing throughout the season. Since it's virtually impossible to count things like moneylines and teasers into a record, we count these bets exclusively... Continue Reading →

Indianapolis +1.5 over Houston

The model likes the Colts +1.5 over the Texans in a game that projects to be a showdown between Andrew Luck and Deshaun Watson. Both defenses are stout against the run but are generous against the pass. It’s no surprise that this game has the highest total of the weekend.

Denver (-2.5) @ Oakland

The model is yet again favoring the Broncos, this time picking on a Raiders team that is simply bad at football. If you're a Raiders fan, you probably won't enjoy this article. Read it anyway since I need the clicks.

Recommended Wagers- Week 16

HOU +2.5

HOU @ PHI12/23 1:00 PM
Model:2.796
Vegas:-2.5
Differential:5.296
Wager:HOU 2.5

CHI -4.0

CHI @ SF12/23 4:05 PM
Model:10.304
Vegas:4
Differential:6.304
Wager:CHI -4.0

DEN -2.5

DEN @ OAK12/24 8:15 PM
Model:9.355
Vegas:2.5
Differential:6.855
Wager:DEN -2.5

Recommended Bet: Kansas City (-6.5)

The model is back on the Chiefs, and this time we are sneaking under the 7 point hook. I break down how the Ravens offense works with Lamar Jackson (hint: they run the ball a lot) and, once again, marvel at the wonder that is Pat Mahomes.

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