Recommended Bets: Week 11

***Update 11/14 8:00AM. We're adding the Saints -5.5, which is still the consensus line. Write up to follow

Buffalo -5.5



BUF @ MIA11/7 1:00PM
Wager:BUF -5.5
Cover Probability:57.81%
Cover Edge:10.36%

New Orleans -5.5


NO @ TB11/17 1:00PM
WagerNO -5.5
Cover Probability:52.61%
Cover Edge:0.43%

Kansas City -3.5


KC @ LAC11/18 8:15PM
WagerKC -3.5
Cover Probability:51.55%
Cover Edge:-1.58%

Recommended Bets: Week 9

Unfortunately, the only game that the model likes. It gives a slight edge to Washington, but we really can't trust that with Dwayne Haskins under center. If you haven't been paying attention, Haskins is #bad at football.

NYJ -3.0



NJY @ MIA11/3 1:00pm
Wager:NYJ -3.0
Cover Probability:57.96%
Cover Edge:10.66%

Recommended Bets: Week 8

The model also likes the Seahawks over the Falcons, but that game is mostly not available at most books because of the Matt Ryan injury. Recommending it feels disingenuous, so we simply won't.

WAS +16.0



WAS @ MIN10/24 8:20pm
Wager:WAS +16.0
Cover Probability:53.68%
Cover Edge:2.48%

Miami +14.5


MIA @ PIT10/28 8:15pm
WagerMIA +14.5
Cover Probability:55.15%
Cover Edge:5.29%

Recommended Bets: Week 7

Miami +17.0


MIA @ BUF10/20 1:00pm
WagerMIA +17.0
Cover Probability:60.37%
Cover Edge:15.25%

Los Angeles Rams -3.0



LAR @ ATL10/20 1:00pm
Wager:LAR -3.0
Cover Probability:55.38%
Cover Edge:5.72%

New Orleans Saints +3.0



NO @ CHI10/20 4:25pm
Wager:NO +3.0
Cover Probability:53.70%
Cover Edge:2.52%

Los Angeles Chargers +2.0



LAC @ TEN10/20 4:05pm
Wager:LAC +2.0
Cover Probability:53.66%
Cover Edge:2.45%

Recommended Bets: Week 6

Washington -3.5


WAS @ MIA10/13 1:00pm
WagerWAS -3.5
Cover Probability:61.09%
Cover Edge:16.62%

Kansas City -5



HOU @ KC10/13 1:00pm
Wager:KC -5
Cover Probability:53.38%
Cover Edge:1.92%

Recommended Bets: Week 5

New England -15.5


NE @ WAS10/6 1:00pm
WagerNE -15.5
Cover Probability:56.42%
Cover Edge:7.72%

Arizona +3.5



ARI @ CIN10/6 1:00pm
Wager:ARI +3.5
Cover Probability:54.54%
Cover Edge:4.13%

Recommended Bets: Week 4

Just two bets this week, let's make them count.

LA Chargers -17.5


LAC @ MIA9/29 1:00pm
WagerLAC -17.5
Cover Probability:70.82%
Cover Edge:35.21%

Dallas -3



DAL @ NOR9/29 8:20pm
Wager:DAL -3
Cover Probability:56.34%
Cover Edge:7.55%

Recommended Wagers: Week 3

Miami +21


MIA @ DAL9/22 1:00pm
WagerMIA +21
Cover Probability:69.72%
Cover Edge:33.09%

NY Jets +22.5



NYJ @ NE9/22 1:00pm
Wager:NYJ +22.5
Cover Probability:60.18%
Cover Edge:14.88%

Kansas City -6.5



BAL @ KC9/22 1:00pm
Wager:KC -6.5
Cover Probability:57.23%
Cover Edge:9.26%

San Francisco -6.5



PIT @ SF9/22 4:25pm
Wager:SF -6.5
Cover Probability:56.38%
Cover Edge:7.63%

Recommended Wagers: Week 2

Oakland +8


KC @ OAK9/15 4:05pm
WagerOAK +8
Cover Probability:59.38%
Cover Edge:13.36%

Baltimore -13.5



ARZ @ BAL9/15 1:00pm
Wager:BAL -13.5
Cover Probability:58.14%
Cover Edge:10.99%

Washington +5



DAL @ WAS9/15 1:00pm
Wager:WAS +5
Cover Probability:54.97%
Cover Edge:4.94%

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