Recommended Bets: Divisional Round

All 4 dogs, baby

Houston +9.5



HOU @ KC1/12 3:05PM
Wager:HOU +9.5
Cover Probability:56.05%
Cover Edge:7.01%

Tennessee +9.5


TEN @ BAL1/11 8:15PM
WagerTEN +9.5
Cover Probability:55.6%
Cover Edge:6.15%

Minnesota +7



MIN @ SF1/11 4:35PM
Wager:MIN +7
Cover Probability:55.44%
Cover Edge:5.85%

Seattle +4.0



SEA @ GB1/12 6:40PM
Wager:SEA +4
Cover Probability:55.32%
Cover Edge:5.61%

Recommended Bets: Week 17

Carolina +13



NO @ CAR12/29 1:00PM
Wager:CAR +13
Cover Probability:58.69%
Cover Edge:12.05%

Seattle +3.5


SF @ SEA12/29 8:20PM
WagerSEA +3.5
Cover Probability:54.34%
Cover Edge:3.74%

LA Chargers +9



LAC @ KC12/29 1:00PM
Wager:LAC +9
Cover Probability:53.82%
Cover Edge:2.75%

Chicago +1


CHI @ MIN12/29 1:00PM
WagerCHI +1
Cover Probability:53.48%
Cover Edge:2.75%

Recommended Bets: Week 15

Cincinnati +9.5



NE @ CIN12/15 1:00PM
Wager:CIN +9.5
Cover Probability:53.95%
Cover Edge:2.99%

NY Giants -3.5


MIA @ NYG12/15 1:00PM
WagerNYG -3.5
Cover Probability:53.44%
Cover Edge:2.03%

Dallas +1

 

LAR @ DAL12/15 4:25PM
WagerDAL +1.0
Cover Probability:53.2%
Cover Edge:1.57%


Recommended Bets: Week 13

Philadelphia -9.5



PHI @ MIA12/1 1:00PM
Wager:PHI -9.5
Cover Probability:56.00%
Cover Edge:6.92%

LA Chargers -2.5


LAC @ DEN12/1 4:25PM
WagerLAC -2.5
Cover Probability:55.0%
Cover Edge:5.0%

Recommended Bets: Week 11

Buffalo -5.5



BUF @ MIA11/7 1:00PM
Wager:BUF -5.5
Cover Probability:57.81%
Cover Edge:10.36%

Kansas City -3.5


KC @ LAC11/18 8:15PM
WagerKC -3.5
Cover Probability:51.55%
Cover Edge:-1.58%

Recommended Bets: Week 9

Unfortunately, the only game that the model likes. It gives a slight edge to Washington, but we really can't trust that with Dwayne Haskins under center. If you haven't been paying attention, Haskins is #bad at football.

NYJ -3.0



NJY @ MIA11/3 1:00pm
Wager:NYJ -3.0
Cover Probability:57.96%
Cover Edge:10.66%

Recommended Bets: Week 8

The model also likes the Seahawks over the Falcons, but that game is mostly not available at most books because of the Matt Ryan injury. Recommending it feels disingenuous, so we simply won't.

WAS +16.0



WAS @ MIN10/24 8:20pm
Wager:WAS +16.0
Cover Probability:53.68%
Cover Edge:2.48%

Miami +14.5


MIA @ PIT10/28 8:15pm
WagerMIA +14.5
Cover Probability:55.15%
Cover Edge:5.29%

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