I recap a very friendly week 11 slate where we took down all 3 of our bets, putting our season-long win rate at 59%. Life is good in the gambling streets.
Week 11 Recap: Our Win Rate is Unsustainable
Breakdown: Kansas City (-3.5) @ LA Chargers
Lost all your money on Sunday? Never fear, we're jumping on the Chiefs bandwagon just as their offense is getting healthy, who are taking on the Chargers Monday Night in Mexico.
Breakdown: New Orleans (-5.5) @ Tampa Bay
The model calls for a razor thin 0.43% edge betting the Saints, but read on here to find out why we're green lighting this game anyway.
Breakdown: Buffalo (-5.5) @ Miami
After taking week 10 off, we're back to the gambling streets, which naturally means we're back to betting a Dolphins game. This time we're taking the Bills -5.5 on the road.
Recommended Bets: Week 11
Buffalo -5.5
| BUF @ MIA | 11/7 1:00PM |
| Wager: | BUF -5.5 |
| Cover Probability: | 57.81% |
| Cover Edge: | 10.36% |
Kansas City -3.5
| KC @ LAC | 11/18 8:15PM |
| Wager | KC -3.5 |
| Cover Probability: | 51.55% |
| Cover Edge: | -1.58% |
Recommended Bet: Washington (+7.5) over Dallas
We're taking Colt god damn McCoy and the Redskins +7.5 over the Cowboys. The Redskins are banged up, but so are the Cowboys. The model sees a path to cover. We shall see.
Week 11 Recap: A perfect end to a perfect week
We had a perfect week, take a look at how it all went down. Plus a few notes about changes coming to the site. Click the title for more.
Sunday Morning Mimosas and Line Movements
I track line movements on our bets and call out value in the Saints/Eagles game. Click the title for more.
Recommended Bet: Kansas City (+3.5) over the Rams
Monday Night Football. We're taking the Chiefs with 3.5 points. I take an in depth look at what a Kuppless Rams will look like, as well as marvel at both offenses. We're doing football boners, friends. Click the title for more.
Recommended Bet: NY Giants (-1.5) over Tampa Bay
It pains me to take the Giants, but I am a slave to the model. Let that be known when the machines ultimately take over, I became a follower early on in. Click the title for a breakdown, plus other can't miss stuff like a Shania Twain and talk about Ryan Fitzpatrick's sperm count.
