Welcome to the recap blog, where we’ll take a look at the results from our previous weeks bets, as well as keep a running season total of our win loss record. Week to week results aren’t important, but I always liked the idea of tracking our bets to see how the season is going as... Continue Reading →
Reviewing our later slate bets, as well as how the model views how the Saints/Broncos game if we adjust for Denver not having a starting QB.
Taking a brief look at where we stand for our two bets during the 1PM slate.
The model believes an edge exists in two of the three Thanksgiving Day games. In case you needed an excuse to make the Holiday's more stressful, here's how you should attack it.
Unfortunately, it looks like the model is underwhelmed by the value on this weeks slate of games. The top option is the Lions -3.5 over the Redskins, which has a pretty slim 1.23% cover edge. I'm recommending we fade the model here, since Lions QB Matt Stafford won't be playing. The Lions offense has been... Continue Reading →
Sunday Night Football. Tackle your scaries by taking the Charges at +3.5. The model's favorite bet of the slate comes with a hook,, so you bet your sweet ass we're taking it.
Our week 12 is official. We went 2-1, and I recap how I ended my Thanksgiving on tilt. We at FirstAndThirty are still thankful for gambling, and another winning week.
The model likes the Chargers to blow out a Cardinals team that just lost to the rebuilding Raiders. LA gets a fully healthy Joey Bosa and the potential for Keenan Allen to run against some guy named Bene' Benwikere. Let's roll.