Welcome to the recap blog, where we’ll take a look at the results from our previous weeks bets, as well as keep a running season total of our win loss record. Week to week results aren’t important, but I always liked the idea of tracking our bets to see how the season is going as... Continue Reading →
Recommended Wager: 4PM Slate
We only have one 4PM game to bet on -- the Bears +5.5 over the Packers. As has been the theme of the week, this line also moved toward the model.
Recommended Bets: Sunday 1PM Slate (Part 2)
Part 2 of our 1PM review examines the Lions (+7.0) over the Vikings and the Giants (+3.0) over the Cowboys. Unfortunately, neither line is available. I hope you got your damn bets in early.
Recommended Bets: 1PM Slate (Part 1)
We made four different 1PM bets this week. This post examines the Patriots (-3) over the Jets and the Bengals (+12) over the Ravens.
Model Context: Week 17
As explained here, week 17 is chaos. As expected, the model spit out some interesting stuff. I wanted to take some time to explain the results, which can be seen here. The essence of machine learning is to feed a model data that the machine can then use to make decisions. Data being the key... Continue Reading →
Recommended Bets: Week 17
Recommended bets for the week, based on the model’s output. Full results for all games are here.
Potentially more coming depending on news.
| Time | Matchup | Wager | Sizing |
|---|---|---|---|
| SUN 1:00PM | NYJ @ NE | NE -3.0 | 2 units |
| SUN 1:00PM | BAL @ CIN | CIN +12.0 | 1 unit |
| SUN 1:00PM | DET @ MIN | DET +7.0 | 1 unit |
| SUN 1:00PM | DAL @ NYG | NYG +3.0 | 1 unit |
| SUN 4:25PM | GB @ CHI | CHI +5.5 | 1 unit |
Week 17 Madness: Motivation and Key Injuries
Welcome to the final week of the regular season, aka the most chaotic week in the NFL for us degenerates. I find myself every Tuesday making calls on which injured players I think are going to play, but this week we get the added fun of figuring out which healthy players will play. Teams that... Continue Reading →
Week 17 Recap: Ending the Season in the Worst Way
Recapping the last week of the season that ended up a very tilting loss and my bed covered in my own tears.
Breakdown: Week 17 Bets (Part 2)
Part 2 of our breakdown discusses what's at stake for the Chiefs as well as me bragging about betting the Bears at +1.
Breakdown: Week 17 Bets (Part 1)
Part 1 of two, breaking down the Seahawks getting 3.5 points on Sunday Night Football and the Panthers getting 13 against the Saints.
