I have an important announcement: we're betting on an interesting game. The Steelers and Ravens are battling it out for the AFC North division, and the model thinks this stays closer than the market.
If you ever wondered about my confidence in the model, I risked my actual, somewhat hard earned money on the fucking Jets against the Chiefs AT ARROWHEAD. I tried my hardest to make this bet not happen. Like seriously, I ranked the Chiefs 1st and the Jets dead last in our power rankings. It didn't matter, the model still believes that the market is over-selling the Jets.
The model's favorite bet of the week is the Rams (-4) over the Dolphins. From a match up stand point, going with Aaron Donald and the Rams pass rush against a brutally bad offensive line protecting a QB in his first game is what really makes me buy into this bet.
With week 7 in the books and most of the injury news being reported, we take a look at what happened and how it impacts each team moving forward.
Welcome to the recap blog, where we’ll take a look at the results from our previous weeks bets, as well as keep a running season total of our win loss record. Week to week results aren’t important, but I always liked the idea of tracking our bets to see how the season is going as well as providing full transparency to our readers.
A common recommendation on first and thirty is to bet games as early as possible. We typically run the model the Tuesday night when once we have all the data from the pervious week. Since a lot of time has passed since then, I thought it would be interesting to see where the lines have... Continue Reading →
Breaking down our two team tease, which features the Titans and the Saints. This post contains advice on how to handle the tease after the line shifts as well as break down both matchups.
This post takes a look at the Bucs -3.0 against the Raiders and the Cardinals +3.5 over the Seahawks. We may have got a bit lucky with the entire Raiders offensive line being quarantined, while betting against Russ Wilson is never fun. But in the model we trust.
This blog reviews our two 3.5 point dog bets, both of which are at home. The model likes the Texans +3.5 against the Packers and the Bengals +3.5 against the Browns.
I break down the Jets/Bills game, and address the elephant in the room that is the god damn Jets. If you think we're psychopaths for recommending the Jets moneyline, read here to see why you're wrong.