Our recommendations for the playoffs are born from similar methodology found elsewhere on this site. Advanced NFL statistics are considered alongside our power rankings and a team’s playoff seed to model their probability of winning Super Bowl 55 (I’ve given up on the roman numerals). While we feel Kansas City stands the best shot of... Continue Reading →
Recommended bets for the week, based on the model's output. Full results for all games are here.
|SAT 1:05PM||IND @ BUF||IND +6.5||1 unit|
|SAT 8:15PM||TB @ WAS||WAS +8.5||3 units|
|SUN 1:05PM||BAL @ TEN||TEN +3.0||1 unit|
|SUN 4:40PM||CHI @ NO||CHI +9.5||1 unit|
Welcome to the recap blog, where we’ll take a look at the results from our previous weeks bets, as well as keep a running season total of our win loss record. Week to week results aren’t important, but I always liked the idea of tracking our bets to see how the season is going as... Continue Reading →
We only have one 4PM game to bet on -- the Bears +5.5 over the Packers. As has been the theme of the week, this line also moved toward the model.
Part 2 of our 1PM review examines the Lions (+7.0) over the Vikings and the Giants (+3.0) over the Cowboys. Unfortunately, neither line is available. I hope you got your damn bets in early.
We made four different 1PM bets this week. This post examines the Patriots (-3) over the Jets and the Bengals (+12) over the Ravens.
As explained here, week 17 is chaos. As expected, the model spit out some interesting stuff. I wanted to take some time to explain the results, which can be seen here. The essence of machine learning is to feed a model data that the machine can then use to make decisions. Data being the key... Continue Reading →
Recommended bets for the week, based on the model’s output. Full results for all games are here.
Potentially more coming depending on news.
|SUN 1:00PM||NYJ @ NE||NE -3.0||2 units|
|SUN 1:00PM||BAL @ CIN||CIN +12.0||1 unit|
|SUN 1:00PM||DET @ MIN||DET +7.0||1 unit|
|SUN 1:00PM||DAL @ NYG||NYG +3.0||1 unit|
|SUN 4:25PM||GB @ CHI||CHI +5.5||1 unit|
If you follow us religiously (and damn it, you should) you’ll have noticed our strong preference towards underdogs the past few weeks. Theoretically, the balancing pass we undertook in mid-October should have eliminated any inherent bias the model holds towards favorites or dogs. The model actually evolves, mildly, each week of the season, taking into... Continue Reading →
Welcome to the final week of the regular season, aka the most chaotic week in the NFL for us degenerates. I find myself every Tuesday making calls on which injured players I think are going to play, but this week we get the added fun of figuring out which healthy players will play. Teams that... Continue Reading →