Power Rankings: Week 1

This year, we're doing something a tad different with the model. It's being fed my personal power rankings to help it make decisions on which bets we should make. The idea behind it is mainly for injuries -- for example, if Pat Mahomes is out, the model would typically scream to bet the Chiefs since... Continue Reading →

Recommended Bets: Week 1

TimeMatchupWager
SUN 1:00PMMIA @ NENE -6.5
SUN 1:00PMPHI @ WASPHI -6.0
SNF 8:20PMDAL @ LARLAR +3.0
SUN 1:00PMCLE @ BALBAL -9.0

Recommended bets for the week, based on the model's output. Full results for all games are here.

2019 Lookback: Luckbox Donkies

The NFL season is long gone. Quarantined and bored, I thought it would be interesting to take a look back at the 2019 season to see which teams were luckboxing into their 2019 win total, and which teams were unlucky as well.

Recommended Bets: Divisional Round

All 4 dogs, baby

Houston +9.5



HOU @ KC1/12 3:05PM
Wager:HOU +9.5
Cover Probability:56.05%
Cover Edge:7.01%

Tennessee +9.5


TEN @ BAL1/11 8:15PM
WagerTEN +9.5
Cover Probability:55.6%
Cover Edge:6.15%

Minnesota +7



MIN @ SF1/11 4:35PM
Wager:MIN +7
Cover Probability:55.44%
Cover Edge:5.85%

Seattle +4.0



SEA @ GB1/12 6:40PM
Wager:SEA +4
Cover Probability:55.32%
Cover Edge:5.61%

Recommended Bets: Wildcard Weekend

Tennessee +5



TEN @ NE1/4 8:15PM
Wager:TEN +5
Cover Probability:54.32%
Cover Edge:3.69%

Minnesota +7.5


MIN @ NOR1/5 1:05PM
WagerMIN +7.5
Cover Probability:53.9%
Cover Edge:2.9%

Buffalo +2.5



BUF @ HOU1/4 4:35PM
Wager:BUF +2.5
Cover Probability:53.85%
Cover Edge:2.81%

Philadelphia +1.5


PHI @ SEA1/5 4:4PM
WagerPHI +1.5
Cover Probability:53.67%
Cover Edge:2.45%

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