We went in a slightly different direction with this one, recommending a tease with the Rams and Saints. This explains how to approach betting this depending what lines you have available as well as a brief breakdown of both games.
The model, much like the Football Gods, wants us to pick on a banged up Eagles offense that must face one of the better defenses in the league. Pick on them, we shall. We're taking the Steelers -7.0.
The second bet of the week features the Falcons (-2.0) over the Panthers. This is a classic fade the public bet, the model is ignoring the 0-4 record from the Falcons, instead favoring projections moving forward.
We're kicking off by taking old man Brady and the Bucs -2.0 over the Bears on Thursday Night Football. In the words of Brady himself, "Lets. Fucking. Go."
Recommended bets for the week, based on the model's output. Full results for all games are here.
|SUN 1:00PM||CAR @ ATL||ATL -2.0|
|TNF 8:20PM||TB @ CHI||TB -3.5|
|SUN 1:00PM||PHI @ PIT||PIT -7.0|
|LAR @ WAS|
LAC @ NO
|LAR -1.5 (teaser)|
NO -1.5 (teaser)
In the interest of full disclosure, I’m posting our in-house power rankings that is used to feed the model. These rankings are projections for each team for the given week, with injury adjustments if they might be without a key contributor for the week.
With week 4 in the books and most of the injury news being reported, we take a look at what happened and how it impacts each team moving forward.
This week saw our picks go an unfortunate 1-3. Let's stop talking about it and move onto week 5 as soon as possible, please.
Who doesn't like betting against the Browns? Our final bet of the week examines the matchup between Dallas and Cleveland, where we prefer to take the Cowboys -4.5.