Cleveland +10
| BAL @ CLE | 12/22 1:00PM |
| Wager: | CLE +10 |
| Cover Probability: | 55.15% |
| Cover Edge: | 5.28% |
Week 13 Recap: Tiltsgiving
Our belly's were full from Thanksgiving, and our bets were lost. I give to you; Tiltsigivng.
Breakdown: LA Chargers (-2.5) @ Denver
Ever wonder how Phil Rivers keeps track of 9 kids? Luckily, we don't have to figure that out. You should still bet the Chargers -2.5 if you got the line available, though.
Recommended Bets: Week 13
Philadelphia -9.5
| PHI @ MIA | 12/1 1:00PM |
| Wager: | PHI -9.5 |
| Cover Probability: | 56.00% |
| Cover Edge: | 6.92% |
LA Chargers -2.5
| LAC @ DEN | 12/1 4:25PM |
| Wager | LAC -2.5 |
| Cover Probability: | 55.0% |
| Cover Edge: | 5.0% |
Week 16 Recap: Christmas Eve Ruined A Perfect Week
We take a look back at week 16, where we edged out a few wins Sunday then got trucked on Christmas Eve.
Denver (-2.5) @ Oakland
The model is yet again favoring the Broncos, this time picking on a Raiders team that is simply bad at football. If you're a Raiders fan, you probably won't enjoy this article. Read it anyway since I need the clicks.
Week 15 Recap: We Messed Up, And Paid For It
By "messed up," I really mean "got lazy." Either way, it was a rough week at FirstAndThirty. I've stressed all year how important it is to get bets in early. Both of us have busy lives, making it difficult to look into the games in the detail that we want to early in the week.... Continue Reading →
Breaking Down the Recommended Wagers for Week 15
I'm doing an abbreviated version of this, because it's Saturday morning and nobody is going to read it. Essentially, we dropped the ball. It was a busy week, but we still should have been able to get our recommended bets out earlier. It's another perfect example as to why you need to get your bets... Continue Reading →
Week 14 Recap: It Appears We Have Lost
Week 14 is officially official. We had a bad week. It happens. If you're following a handicapper who doesn't talk about these, they're just fucking lying. Anyway, let's break it down: Cincinnati @ LA Chargers (-14)Vegas: LAC – 14DomModel: LAC – 20.588Recommendation: LAC -14Analysis The Chargers came away with a victory here, but they shouldn't be happy about their... Continue Reading →
