NFL betting, done brilliantly
Recommended bets for the week, based on the model's output. Full results for all games are here.
We recommend doubling size on Pittsburgh this week due to high wager strength.
| Time | Matchup | Wager |
|---|---|---|
| SUN 1:00PM | HOU @ PIT | PIT -4.0 |
| TNF 8:20PM | MIA @ JAX | JAX -3.0 |
| SUN 1:00PM | LAR @ BUF | LAR +2.5 |
| SUN 1:00PM | CIN @ PHI | PHI -6.0 |
| SNF 8:20PM | GB @ NO | NO -3.0 |
| SUN 4:25PM | TB @ DEN | TB -6.0 |
Recommended bets for the week, based on the model's output. Full results for all games are here.
| Time | Matchup | Wager |
|---|---|---|
| SUN 1:00PM | DEN @ PIT | PIT -7.5 |
| SUN 1:00PM | CAR @ TB | TB -9.0 |
| SUN 4:00PM | WAS @ ARI | ARI -6.5 |
Looking back at a successful start to the season. The Patriots took down the Dolphins, the Rams took a close one on SNF, the Ravens won in a blowout, and Carson Wentz pissed me off.
The model thinks 9 point spreads are silly. At the time of writing, the line has moved away from the model and is now down to 7.5 That rarely happens, but is a nice treat if you didn't get your bets in.
Time Matchup Wager SUN 1:00PM MIA @ NE NE -6.5 SUN 1:00PM PHI @ WAS PHI -6.0 SNF 8:20PM DAL @ LAR LAR +3.0 SUN 1:00PM CLE @ BAL BAL -9.0
Recommended bets for the week, based on the model's output. Full results for all games are here.
Week 16 saw us lose our only bet. Christmas is ruined.
By "messed up," I really mean "got lazy." Either way, it was a rough week at FirstAndThirty. I've stressed all year how important it is to get bets in early. Both of us have busy lives, making it difficult to look into the games in the detail that we want to early in the week.... Continue Reading →
I'm doing an abbreviated version of this, because it's Saturday morning and nobody is going to read it. Essentially, we dropped the ball. It was a busy week, but we still should have been able to get our recommended bets out earlier. It's another perfect example as to why you need to get your bets... Continue Reading →
Week 9 is in the books, and the season is flying by. Click the title for a breakdown on how we did.
Previewing our four team tease, part 1. This preview include the Raiders/49ers on TNFS (Thursday Night Fuck Show) and the Chiefs/Browns. Part 2 coming.. eventually. Click the title for more.
