NFL betting, done brilliantly
This post takes a look at the Bucs -3.0 against the Raiders and the Cardinals +3.5 over the Seahawks. We may have got a bit lucky with the entire Raiders offensive line being quarantined, while betting against Russ Wilson is never fun. But in the model we trust.
Welcome to the recap blog, where we’ll take a look at the results from our previous weeks bets, as well as keep a running season total of our win loss record. Week to week results aren’t important, but I always liked the idea of tracking our bets to see how the season is going as well as providing full transparency to our readers.
You may not like betting against Aaron Rodgers, but the Bucs are at home and the better team according to Football Outsider's DAVE stat, so I'm not at all surprised that the model likes this one. Take the point and make the bet.
It's been a tough few weeks for the First and Thirty guys, but at least we were able to salvage things slightly with the Saints comeback win on Monday night.
We're kicking off by taking old man Brady and the Bucs -2.0 over the Bears on Thursday Night Football. In the words of Brady himself, "Lets. Fucking. Go."
Welcome to the recap blog, where we’ll take a look at the results from our previous weeks bets, as well as keep a running season total of our win loss record. Week to week results aren’t important, but I always liked the idea of tracking our bets to see how the season is going. This... Continue Reading →
Part 3 of the matchup breakdown takes a look at the Saints -3.0 over the Packers and the Bucs -6.0 over the injured Broncos. If you're into fading early season results, this is the place to be.
We were able to book another win week 2 after grabbing 3 favorites. I argued that if it wasn't for the opposing teams starting QB getting injured we actually would have went undefeated. I'm all about the bullshit excuses.
The model doesn't believe in week 1 woes. It looks the Bucs to put up big points against the Panthers "defense."
I recap a very friendly week 11 slate where we took down all 3 of our bets, putting our season-long win rate at 59%. Life is good in the gambling streets.
