Recapping a friendly week 15, that featured two sweat free covers.
Week 15 Recap: Back in Action
Breakdown: Dallas (+1) over LA Rams
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Hey look, the model picked a game that doesn't suck. We're backing the Cowboys getting a point at home against the red hot Rams. Recency bias can suck it.
Week 4 Recap: I hate Kellen Moore
We went an even 1 - 1 this week that was capped by a tough loss Sunday night that I'm blaming on Kellen Moore, justified or not.
Breakdown: Dallas (-3) @ New Orleans
One week after fading the Cowboys, the model is now a believer. We expect the Kellen Moore lead offense to head into New Orleans and win easily.
Recommended Bets: Week 4
Just two bets this week, let's make them count.
LA Chargers -17.5
| LAC @ MIA | 9/29 1:00pm |
| Wager | LAC -17.5 |
| Cover Probability: | 70.82% |
| Cover Edge: | 35.21% |
Dallas -3
| DAL @ NOR | 9/29 8:20pm |
| Wager: | DAL -3 |
| Cover Probability: | 56.34% |
| Cover Edge: | 7.55% |
Week 3 Recap: The Tilt is Real
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Welcome to the recap blog. Weekly results don’t matter, but we want to track how we did and keep up to date stats, so we’ll use this space to see what happened. It’s always interesting to look at both your wins and loses and see what happened in the game — some bad calls or... Continue Reading →
Breakdown: Miami (+21) over Dallas
The model thinks 22 point spreads are silly. We're backing the dogs in a big way this week, starting with the Dolphins over the Cowboys.
Recommended Wagers: Week 3
Miami +21
| MIA @ DAL | 9/22 1:00pm |
| Wager | MIA +21 |
| Cover Probability: | 69.72% |
| Cover Edge: | 33.09% |
NY Jets +22.5
| NYJ @ NE | 9/22 1:00pm |
| Wager: | NYJ +22.5 |
| Cover Probability: | 60.18% |
| Cover Edge: | 14.88% |
Kansas City -6.5
| BAL @ KC | 9/22 1:00pm |
| Wager: | KC -6.5 |
| Cover Probability: | 57.23% |
| Cover Edge: | 9.26% |
San Francisco -6.5
| PIT @ SF | 9/22 4:25pm |
| Wager: | SF -6.5 |
| Cover Probability: | 56.38% |
| Cover Edge: | 7.63% |
Week 2 Recap: Is 0-3 Bad?
We went 4-0 week 1. To be nice to our bookie, we decided to take 3 losers. It's common courtesy, really.
