We went an even 1 - 1 this week that was capped by a tough loss Sunday night that I'm blaming on Kellen Moore, justified or not.
Week 4 Recap: I hate Kellen Moore
Breakdown: Dallas (-3) @ New Orleans
One week after fading the Cowboys, the model is now a believer. We expect the Kellen Moore lead offense to head into New Orleans and win easily.
Recommended Bets: Week 4
Just two bets this week, let's make them count.
LA Chargers -17.5
| LAC @ MIA | 9/29 1:00pm |
| Wager | LAC -17.5 |
| Cover Probability: | 70.82% |
| Cover Edge: | 35.21% |
Dallas -3
| DAL @ NOR | 9/29 8:20pm |
| Wager: | DAL -3 |
| Cover Probability: | 56.34% |
| Cover Edge: | 7.55% |
Week 3 Recap: The Tilt is Real
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Welcome to the recap blog. Weekly results don’t matter, but we want to track how we did and keep up to date stats, so we’ll use this space to see what happened. It’s always interesting to look at both your wins and loses and see what happened in the game — some bad calls or... Continue Reading →
Breakdown: Miami (+21) over Dallas
The model thinks 22 point spreads are silly. We're backing the dogs in a big way this week, starting with the Dolphins over the Cowboys.
Recommended Wagers: Week 3
Miami +21
| MIA @ DAL | 9/22 1:00pm |
| Wager | MIA +21 |
| Cover Probability: | 69.72% |
| Cover Edge: | 33.09% |
NY Jets +22.5
| NYJ @ NE | 9/22 1:00pm |
| Wager: | NYJ +22.5 |
| Cover Probability: | 60.18% |
| Cover Edge: | 14.88% |
Kansas City -6.5
| BAL @ KC | 9/22 1:00pm |
| Wager: | KC -6.5 |
| Cover Probability: | 57.23% |
| Cover Edge: | 9.26% |
San Francisco -6.5
| PIT @ SF | 9/22 4:25pm |
| Wager: | SF -6.5 |
| Cover Probability: | 56.38% |
| Cover Edge: | 7.63% |
Week 2 Recap: Is 0-3 Bad?
We went 4-0 week 1. To be nice to our bookie, we decided to take 3 losers. It's common courtesy, really.
Breakdown: Washington (+5) over Dallas
Each week the model picks a game that makes you cringe. This is that game. We're looking for the Skins to keep it within 5 at home against the Cowboys.
Wildcard Recap: All Hail The Wong
This week was a bit different, since we recommended a wong teaser - the logic behind that is explained here. The recap is used to track progress on how our bets are doing throughout the season. Since it's virtually impossible to count things like moneylines and teasers into a record, we count these bets exclusively... Continue Reading →
