NFL betting, done brilliantly
Welcome to the recap blog, where we’ll take a look at the results from our previous weeks bets, as well as keep a running season total of our win loss record. Week to week results aren’t important, but I always liked the idea of tracking our bets to see how the season is going as... Continue Reading →
Part 2 of our 1PM review examines the Lions (+7.0) over the Vikings and the Giants (+3.0) over the Cowboys. Unfortunately, neither line is available. I hope you got your damn bets in early.
The model believes an edge exists in two of the three Thanksgiving Day games. In case you needed an excuse to make the Holiday's more stressful, here's how you should attack it.
Welcome to the recap blog, where we’ll take a look at the results from our previous weeks bets, as well as keep a running season total of our win loss record. Week to week results aren’t important, but I always liked the idea of tracking our bets to see how the season is going as well as providing full transparency to our readers.
Apologies for the late post here -- we added in a recommended bet based on some line movement that we believe open up value. This post takes a quick look at the game and how to handle betting it depending on which number you have available to you.
Recommended bets for the week, based on the model's output. Full results for all games are here.
| Time | Matchup | Wager |
|---|---|---|
| SUN 1:00PM | BUF @ NYJ | NYJ +500 |
| SUN 1:00PM | GB @ HOU | HOU +3.5 |
| SUN 1:00PM | CLE @ CIN | CIN +3.5 |
| SUN 4:05PM | SEA @ ARI | ARI +3.5 |
| SNF 8:20 PM | TB @ LV | TB -3.0 |
| SUN 1:00PM SUN 1:00PM | PIT @ TEN CAR @ NO | TEN +8.0 (teaser) NO -1.5 (teaser) |
Recommended bets for the week, based on the model's output. Full results for all games are here.
| Time | Matchup | Wager |
|---|---|---|
| SUN 1:00PM | CIN @ IND | IND -7.5 |
| SUN 4:25PM | GB @ TB | TB +1.0 |
| SUN 4:05PM | NYJ @ MIA | NYJ +9.5 |
| SUN 1:00PM | CLE @ PIT | PIT -3.0 |
Recommended bets for the week, based on the model's output. Full results for all games are here.
| Time | Matchup | Wager |
|---|---|---|
| SUN 1:00PM | CAR @ ATL | ATL -2.0 |
| TNF 8:20PM | TB @ CHI | TB -3.5 |
| SUN 1:00PM | PHI @ PIT | PIT -7.0 |
| SUN 1:00PM MNF 8:15PM | LAR @ WAS LAC @ NO | LAR -1.5 (teaser) NO -1.5 (teaser) |
This week saw our picks go an unfortunate 1-3. Let's stop talking about it and move onto week 5 as soon as possible, please.
Who doesn't like betting against the Browns? Our final bet of the week examines the matchup between Dallas and Cleveland, where we prefer to take the Cowboys -4.5.
