The model identified four different games that have value. This examines the Cardinals (-2.5) over the Giants and the Dolphins (+7) over the Chiefs.
Recommended Wagers: Sunday 1PM Slate (Part 1)
Week 11 Recap: The 4PM Slate Was Mean
Welcome to the recap blog, where we’ll take a look at the results from our previous weeks bets, as well as keep a running season total of our win loss record. Week to week results aren’t important, but I always liked the idea of tracking our bets to see how the season is going as well as providing full transparency to our readers.
Recommended Wager: Miami (-3.5) over Denver
This blog examines the Dolphins (-3.5) over the Broncos. The 3.5 point hook is never fun, but betting against the Broncos offense is usually a treat.
Recommended Bets: San Francisco and Arizona
This blog takes a look at two of the model's favorite bets this week, the banged up 49ers getting 5.5 at home against the Packers and the Cardinals giving 4.5 to the Dolphins.
Week 8 Recap: Damn You, Jared Goff
Welcome to the recap blog, where we’ll take a look at the results from our previous weeks bets, as well as keep a running season total of our win loss record. Week to week results aren’t important, but I always liked the idea of tracking our bets to see how the season is going as well as providing full transparency to our readers.
Recommended Wager: LA Rams (-4.0) over Miami
The model's favorite bet of the week is the Rams (-4) over the Dolphins. From a match up stand point, going with Aaron Donald and the Rams pass rush against a brutally bad offensive line protecting a QB in his first game is what really makes me buy into this bet.
Recommended Bets: Week 7
Recommended bets for the week, based on the model's output. Full results for all games are here.
| Time | Matchup | Wager |
|---|---|---|
| SUN 1:00PM | BUF @ NYJ | NYJ +500 |
| SUN 1:00PM | GB @ HOU | HOU +3.5 |
| SUN 1:00PM | CLE @ CIN | CIN +3.5 |
| SUN 4:05PM | SEA @ ARI | ARI +3.5 |
| SNF 8:20 PM | TB @ LV | TB -3.0 |
| SUN 1:00PM SUN 1:00PM | PIT @ TEN CAR @ NO | TEN +8.0 (teaser) NO -1.5 (teaser) |
Week 6 Recap: Even Steven
Welcome to the recap blog, where we’ll take a look at the results from our previous weeks bets, as well as keep a running season total of our win loss record. Week to week results aren’t important, but I always liked the idea of tracking our bets to see how the season is going as well as providing full transparency to our readers.
Recommended Wager: NY Jets (+9.5) over Miami
I promise not to spend a ton of time on this shit game. The model sees the Dolphins as one of the worst teams in football, and spotting them 9.5 points is simply too many.
Recommended Bets: Week 6
Recommended bets for the week, based on the model's output. Full results for all games are here.
| Time | Matchup | Wager |
|---|---|---|
| SUN 1:00PM | CIN @ IND | IND -7.5 |
| SUN 4:25PM | GB @ TB | TB +1.0 |
| SUN 4:05PM | NYJ @ MIA | NYJ +9.5 |
| SUN 1:00PM | CLE @ PIT | PIT -3.0 |
