Recapping a very boring week 9 that saw us betting just one game. Unfortunately, we lost that game. We're now sitting at 54% on the season.
Week 9 Recap: We Bet One Game. We Lost One Game.
Breakdown: NY Jets (-3) @ Miami
Ah, we have a classic "bet it, don't watch it game. Just in case you're crazy enough to subject your eyes to the awfulness that is these football teams, I compiled a breakdown detailing where each team is at. Even if you don't read it, be nice and click on the headline so I feel better about the pageviews.
Recommended Bets: Week 9
Unfortunately, the only game that the model likes. It gives a slight edge to Washington, but we really can't trust that with Dwayne Haskins under center. If you haven't been paying attention, Haskins is #bad at football.
NYJ -3.0
| NJY @ MIA | 11/3 1:00pm |
| Wager: | NYJ -3.0 |
| Cover Probability: | 57.96% |
| Cover Edge: | 10.66% |
Week 8 Recap: Betting Crap Teams Pays Off, Apparently
Week 8 was kind to us as we took down both of our bets. The model called on us to take the Dolphins and Redskins, and both of those sad excuses for a football team covered.
Breakdown: Miami (+14.5) over Pittsburgh
We're bookending week 8 by taking the Thursday Night game and the Monday Night game. The model is back on the Dolphins with the points. Let's get at it.
Week 7 Recap: The Chargers Killed Our Perfect Week
Week 7 was kind to us, but it could have been kinder. We went 3-1 on our bets, with 3 sweat free covers and a very close loss.
Recommended Bets: Week 8
The model also likes the Seahawks over the Falcons, but that game is mostly not available at most books because of the Matt Ryan injury. Recommending it feels disingenuous, so we simply won't.
WAS +16.0
| WAS @ MIN | 10/24 8:20pm |
| Wager: | WAS +16.0 |
| Cover Probability: | 53.68% |
| Cover Edge: | 2.48% |
Miami +14.5
| MIA @ PIT | 10/28 8:15pm |
| Wager | MIA +14.5 |
| Cover Probability: | 55.15% |
| Cover Edge: | 5.29% |
Breakdown: Week 7 Recommendations (Part 1)
This is part one of the recommendations, which covers the Dolphins getting 17 against the Bills, and the Rams giving 3 to the Falcons.
Recommended Bets: Week 7
Miami +17.0
| MIA @ BUF | 10/20 1:00pm |
| Wager | MIA +17.0 |
| Cover Probability: | 60.37% |
| Cover Edge: | 15.25% |
Los Angeles Rams -3.0
| LAR @ ATL | 10/20 1:00pm |
| Wager: | LAR -3.0 |
| Cover Probability: | 55.38% |
| Cover Edge: | 5.72% |
New Orleans Saints +3.0
| NO @ CHI | 10/20 4:25pm |
| Wager: | NO +3.0 |
| Cover Probability: | 53.70% |
| Cover Edge: | 2.52% |
Los Angeles Chargers +2.0
| LAC @ TEN | 10/20 4:05pm |
| Wager: | LAC +2.0 |
| Cover Probability: | 53.66% |
| Cover Edge: | 2.45% |
