NFL betting, done brilliantly
| TEN @ NE | 1/4 8:15PM |
| Wager: | TEN +5 |
| Cover Probability: | 54.32% |
| Cover Edge: | 3.69% |
| MIN @ NOR | 1/5 1:05PM |
| Wager | MIN +7.5 |
| Cover Probability: | 53.9% |
| Cover Edge: | 2.9% |
| BUF @ HOU | 1/4 4:35PM |
| Wager: | BUF +2.5 |
| Cover Probability: | 53.85% |
| Cover Edge: | 2.81% |
| PHI @ SEA | 1/5 4:4PM |
| Wager | PHI +1.5 |
| Cover Probability: | 53.67% |
| Cover Edge: | 2.45% |
Our belly's were full from Thanksgiving, and our bets were lost. I give to you; Tiltsigivng.
We lead off week 13 featuring another Dolphins bet, this time fading them as 9.5 point underdogs against the Eagles. I go a bit further into why the model keeps picking Dolphins game, and also break down the Eagles.
| PHI @ MIA | 12/1 1:00PM |
| Wager: | PHI -9.5 |
| Cover Probability: | 56.00% |
| Cover Edge: | 6.92% |
| LAC @ DEN | 12/1 4:25PM |
| Wager | LAC -2.5 |
| Cover Probability: | 55.0% |
| Cover Edge: | 5.0% |
We take a look back at week 16, where we edged out a few wins Sunday then got trucked on Christmas Eve.
/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_image/image/56688133/usa_today_10280332.0.jpg?resize=600%2C9999&ssl=1 "Houston Texans (+2.5) @ Philadelphia Eagles")
The model likes the Texans on the road against the Eagles. We're happy to pick on the backup QB and depleted Eagles secondary.
Week 10 is in the books, where we yet against lost the Thursday Night game. Click the title for the recap.
We're taking the Cowboys with 7 in this one. Click the title for the breakdown.
Week 1 started out with meh results. I'd care about that sort of thing if I was a short term results oriented fish, but since I'm not, it's whatever. Let's break down the games anyway. Click the title for more.
I wouldn't bet this game, but I figured I'd write about opening night anyway. Read my preview because it's the right thing to do. (Click the title)
