NFL betting, done brilliantly
Welcome to the recap blog, where we’ll take a look at the results from our previous weeks bets, as well as keep a running season total of our win loss record. Week to week results aren’t important, but I always liked the idea of tracking our bets to see how the season is going as well as providing full transparency to our readers.
You may not like betting against Aaron Rodgers, but the Bucs are at home and the better team according to Football Outsider's DAVE stat, so I'm not at all surprised that the model likes this one. Take the point and make the bet.
Welcome to the recap blog, where we’ll take a look at the results from our previous weeks bets, as well as keep a running season total of our win loss record. Week to week results aren’t important, but I always liked the idea of tracking our bets to see how the season is going. This... Continue Reading →
Part 3 of the matchup breakdown takes a look at the Saints -3.0 over the Packers and the Bucs -6.0 over the injured Broncos. If you're into fading early season results, this is the place to be.
| GB @ SF | 1/19 6:40PM |
| Wager: | GB +7.5 |
| Cover Probability: | 56.36% |
| Cover Edge: | 7.6% |
| TEN @ KC | 1/19 3:40PM |
| Wager | TEN +7.5 |
| Cover Probability: | 56.1% |
| Cover Edge: | 7.1% |
All 4 dogs, baby
| HOU @ KC | 1/12 3:05PM |
| Wager: | HOU +9.5 |
| Cover Probability: | 56.05% |
| Cover Edge: | 7.01% |
| TEN @ BAL | 1/11 8:15PM |
| Wager | TEN +9.5 |
| Cover Probability: | 55.6% |
| Cover Edge: | 6.15% |
| MIN @ SF | 1/11 4:35PM |
| Wager: | MIN +7 |
| Cover Probability: | 55.44% |
| Cover Edge: | 5.85% |
| SEA @ GB | 1/12 6:40PM |
| Wager: | SEA +4 |
| Cover Probability: | 55.32% |
| Cover Edge: | 5.61% |
Each week, I will recap how our bets went. Week to week results are totally irrelevant, but this will keep an accurate record of each of our bets and how they did. Last week we went 0-3. I cried. We were in the red. But after a 2-1 week we're back to even. Am I... Continue Reading →
We're taking the Packers -9.5 against the injury riddled 49ers. Let's go. Click the title for more.
Week 3 is in the books. We went 3-0 this week. This really doesn't matter because I don't care about short term results, but I'm just stating facts. We went 3-0. That's a fact. It doesn't matter but we went 3-0. Fact. Click the title for the break down.
Look at us, we're betting on a team we've never bet playing a team we've never faded. We're growing up and shit. We're taking the home team with the points in this one. Click the title for more.
