NFL betting, done brilliantly
Recommended bets for the week, based on the model's output. Full results for all games are here.
We recommend doubling size on Pittsburgh this week due to high wager strength.
| Time | Matchup | Wager |
|---|---|---|
| SUN 1:00PM | HOU @ PIT | PIT -4.0 |
| TNF 8:20PM | MIA @ JAX | JAX -3.0 |
| SUN 1:00PM | LAR @ BUF | LAR +2.5 |
| SUN 1:00PM | CIN @ PHI | PHI -6.0 |
| SNF 8:20PM | GB @ NO | NO -3.0 |
| SUN 4:25PM | TB @ DEN | TB -6.0 |
Recommended bets for the week, based on the model's output. Full results for all games are here.
| Time | Matchup | Wager |
|---|---|---|
| SUN 1:00PM | DEN @ PIT | PIT -7.5 |
| SUN 1:00PM | CAR @ TB | TB -9.0 |
| SUN 4:00PM | WAS @ ARI | ARI -6.5 |
Looking back at a successful start to the season. The Patriots took down the Dolphins, the Rams took a close one on SNF, the Ravens won in a blowout, and Carson Wentz pissed me off.
We kick off the season with grabbing the Patriots as 6.5 point favorite over the Dolphins.
Time Matchup Wager SUN 1:00PM MIA @ NE NE -6.5 SUN 1:00PM PHI @ WAS PHI -6.0 SNF 8:20PM DAL @ LAR LAR +3.0 SUN 1:00PM CLE @ BAL BAL -9.0
Recommended bets for the week, based on the model's output. Full results for all games are here.
| TEN @ NE | 1/4 8:15PM |
| Wager: | TEN +5 |
| Cover Probability: | 54.32% |
| Cover Edge: | 3.69% |
| MIN @ NOR | 1/5 1:05PM |
| Wager | MIN +7.5 |
| Cover Probability: | 53.9% |
| Cover Edge: | 2.9% |
| BUF @ HOU | 1/4 4:35PM |
| Wager: | BUF +2.5 |
| Cover Probability: | 53.85% |
| Cover Edge: | 2.81% |
| PHI @ SEA | 1/5 4:4PM |
| Wager | PHI +1.5 |
| Cover Probability: | 53.67% |
| Cover Edge: | 2.45% |
Recapping a friendly week 15, that featured two sweat free covers.
The model loves crap teams. We're betting that the Bengals can keep it within 10 at home against the Patriots. Here's to the Red Rocket doing something, anything, against the stout Patriots defense.
| NE @ CIN | 12/15 1:00PM |
| Wager: | CIN +9.5 |
| Cover Probability: | 53.95% |
| Cover Edge: | 2.99% |
| MIA @ NYG | 12/15 1:00PM |
| Wager | NYG -3.5 |
| Cover Probability: | 53.44% |
| Cover Edge: | 2.03% |
| LAR @ DAL | 12/15 4:25PM |
| Wager | DAL +1.0 |
| Cover Probability: | 53.2% |
| Cover Edge: | 1.57% |
Let's take a look back at an exciting week 5 where we won both of our bets. The Patriots started things off poorly and finished strong, where the Cardinals almost blew and easy cover. Either way, a winning week is a winning week.
