NFL betting, done brilliantly
Let's take a look back at an exciting week 5 where we won both of our bets. The Patriots started things off poorly and finished strong, where the Cardinals almost blew and easy cover. Either way, a winning week is a winning week.
Jay Gruden may not know who his starting QB is, but we know we're betting the Patriots.
| NE @ WAS | 10/6 1:00pm |
| Wager | NE -15.5 |
| Cover Probability: | 56.42% |
| Cover Edge: | 7.72% |
| ARI @ CIN | 10/6 1:00pm |
| Wager: | ARI +3.5 |
| Cover Probability: | 54.54% |
| Cover Edge: | 4.13% |
/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_image/image/65295051/usa_today_13363775.0.jpg?resize=600%2C9999&ssl=1 "Week 3 Recap: The Tilt is Real")
Welcome to the recap blog. Weekly results don’t matter, but we want to track how we did and keep up to date stats, so we’ll use this space to see what happened. It’s always interesting to look at both your wins and loses and see what happened in the game — some bad calls or... Continue Reading →
Here at FirstAndThirty we do not discriminate against 22.5 point dogs. In fact, we bet them.
| MIA @ DAL | 9/22 1:00pm |
| Wager | MIA +21 |
| Cover Probability: | 69.72% |
| Cover Edge: | 33.09% |
| NYJ @ NE | 9/22 1:00pm |
| Wager: | NYJ +22.5 |
| Cover Probability: | 60.18% |
| Cover Edge: | 14.88% |
| BAL @ KC | 9/22 1:00pm |
| Wager: | KC -6.5 |
| Cover Probability: | 57.23% |
| Cover Edge: | 9.26% |
| PIT @ SF | 9/22 4:25pm |
| Wager: | SF -6.5 |
| Cover Probability: | 56.38% |
| Cover Edge: | 7.63% |
A look back at our super bowl prop bets and game wager.
The day has arrived. It is officially time to make our Super Bowl pick. Depending on the book you checked, the line either opened at a pick em or the Rams as a slight favorite. However, the public immediately hammered the Patriots and the line shifted swiftly to New England -2.5. Our model thinks Vegas had it right at the opening line, and the public is wrong.
Each week, I will recap how our bets went. Week to week results are totally irrelevant, but this will keep an accurate record of each of our bets and how they did. Last week we went 0-3. I cried. We were in the red. But after a 2-1 week we're back to even. Am I... Continue Reading →
