NFL betting, done brilliantly
Welcome to the recap blog, where we’ll take a look at the results from our previous weeks bets, as well as keep a running season total of our win loss record. Week to week results aren’t important, but I always liked the idea of tracking our bets to see how the season is going as well as providing full transparency to our readers.
The model's favorite bet of the week is the Rams (-4) over the Dolphins. From a match up stand point, going with Aaron Donald and the Rams pass rush against a brutally bad offensive line protecting a QB in his first game is what really makes me buy into this bet.
Recommended bets for the week, based on the model's output. Full results for all games are here.
| Time | Matchup | Wager |
|---|---|---|
| SUN 1:00PM | BUF @ NYJ | NYJ +500 |
| SUN 1:00PM | GB @ HOU | HOU +3.5 |
| SUN 1:00PM | CLE @ CIN | CIN +3.5 |
| SUN 4:05PM | SEA @ ARI | ARI +3.5 |
| SNF 8:20 PM | TB @ LV | TB -3.0 |
| SUN 1:00PM SUN 1:00PM | PIT @ TEN CAR @ NO | TEN +8.0 (teaser) NO -1.5 (teaser) |
Recommended bets for the week, based on the model's output. Full results for all games are here.
| Time | Matchup | Wager |
|---|---|---|
| SUN 1:00PM | CIN @ IND | IND -7.5 |
| SUN 4:25PM | GB @ TB | TB +1.0 |
| SUN 4:05PM | NYJ @ MIA | NYJ +9.5 |
| SUN 1:00PM | CLE @ PIT | PIT -3.0 |
It's been a tough few weeks for the First and Thirty guys, but at least we were able to salvage things slightly with the Saints comeback win on Monday night.
We went in a slightly different direction with this one, recommending a tease with the Rams and Saints. This explains how to approach betting this depending what lines you have available as well as a brief breakdown of both games.
Recommended bets for the week, based on the model's output. Full results for all games are here.
| Time | Matchup | Wager |
|---|---|---|
| SUN 1:00PM | CAR @ ATL | ATL -2.0 |
| TNF 8:20PM | TB @ CHI | TB -3.5 |
| SUN 1:00PM | PHI @ PIT | PIT -7.0 |
| SUN 1:00PM MNF 8:15PM | LAR @ WAS LAC @ NO | LAR -1.5 (teaser) NO -1.5 (teaser) |
Welcome to the recap blog, where we’ll take a look at the results from our previous weeks bets, as well as keep a running season total of our win loss record. Week to week results aren’t important, but I always liked the idea of tracking our bets to see how the season is going. This... Continue Reading →
Recommended bets for the week, based on the model's output. Full results for all games are here.
| Time | Matchup | Wager |
|---|---|---|
| TNF 8:20PM | DEN @ NYJ | NYJ +1.0 |
| SUN 1:00PM | ARI @ CAR | ARI -3.5 |
| SUN 1:00PM | SEA @ MIA | SEA -6.5 |
| SUN 1:00PM | CLE @ DAL | DAL -4.5 |
Part 2 of 3 analyze the Rams (+2.5) over the Bills and the Eagles (-6.0) over the Bengals. We're fading two early season narratives: Carson Wentz isn't this bad. Josh Allen isn't this good. Let's hope we're right.
