Welcome to the recap blog, where we’ll take a look at the results from our previous weeks bets, as well as keep a running season total of our win loss record. Week to week results aren’t important, but I always liked the idea of tracking our bets to see how the season is going as well as providing full transparency to our readers.
Recommended Wager: LA Rams (-4.0) over Miami
The model's favorite bet of the week is the Rams (-4) over the Dolphins. From a match up stand point, going with Aaron Donald and the Rams pass rush against a brutally bad offensive line protecting a QB in his first game is what really makes me buy into this bet.
Recommended Bets: Week 7
Recommended bets for the week, based on the model's output. Full results for all games are here.
| Time | Matchup | Wager |
|---|---|---|
| SUN 1:00PM | BUF @ NYJ | NYJ +500 |
| SUN 1:00PM | GB @ HOU | HOU +3.5 |
| SUN 1:00PM | CLE @ CIN | CIN +3.5 |
| SUN 4:05PM | SEA @ ARI | ARI +3.5 |
| SNF 8:20 PM | TB @ LV | TB -3.0 |
| SUN 1:00PM SUN 1:00PM | PIT @ TEN CAR @ NO | TEN +8.0 (teaser) NO -1.5 (teaser) |
Recommended Bets: Week 6
Recommended bets for the week, based on the model's output. Full results for all games are here.
| Time | Matchup | Wager |
|---|---|---|
| SUN 1:00PM | CIN @ IND | IND -7.5 |
| SUN 4:25PM | GB @ TB | TB +1.0 |
| SUN 4:05PM | NYJ @ MIA | NYJ +9.5 |
| SUN 1:00PM | CLE @ PIT | PIT -3.0 |
Week 5 Recap: Saved by Monday Night Overtime
It's been a tough few weeks for the First and Thirty guys, but at least we were able to salvage things slightly with the Saints comeback win on Monday night.
Teaser Recommendation: Rams (-1.5) and Saints (-1.5)
We went in a slightly different direction with this one, recommending a tease with the Rams and Saints. This explains how to approach betting this depending what lines you have available as well as a brief breakdown of both games.
Recommended Bets: Week 5
Recommended bets for the week, based on the model's output. Full results for all games are here.
| Time | Matchup | Wager |
|---|---|---|
| SUN 1:00PM | CAR @ ATL | ATL -2.0 |
| TNF 8:20PM | TB @ CHI | TB -3.5 |
| SUN 1:00PM | PHI @ PIT | PIT -7.0 |
| SUN 1:00PM MNF 8:15PM | LAR @ WAS LAC @ NO | LAR -1.5 (teaser) NO -1.5 (teaser) |
Week 3 Recap: Bullshit DPI Calls and a Big L for Us
Welcome to the recap blog, where we’ll take a look at the results from our previous weeks bets, as well as keep a running season total of our win loss record. Week to week results aren’t important, but I always liked the idea of tracking our bets to see how the season is going. This... Continue Reading →
Recommended Bets: Week 4
Recommended bets for the week, based on the model's output. Full results for all games are here.
| Time | Matchup | Wager |
|---|---|---|
| TNF 8:20PM | DEN @ NYJ | NYJ +1.0 |
| SUN 1:00PM | ARI @ CAR | ARI -3.5 |
| SUN 1:00PM | SEA @ MIA | SEA -6.5 |
| SUN 1:00PM | CLE @ DAL | DAL -4.5 |
Recommended Wagers: LA Rams and Philadelphia
Part 2 of 3 analyze the Rams (+2.5) over the Bills and the Eagles (-6.0) over the Bengals. We're fading two early season narratives: Carson Wentz isn't this bad. Josh Allen isn't this good. Let's hope we're right.
