NFL betting, done brilliantly
All 4 dogs, baby
| HOU @ KC | 1/12 3:05PM |
| Wager: | HOU +9.5 |
| Cover Probability: | 56.05% |
| Cover Edge: | 7.01% |
| TEN @ BAL | 1/11 8:15PM |
| Wager | TEN +9.5 |
| Cover Probability: | 55.6% |
| Cover Edge: | 6.15% |
| MIN @ SF | 1/11 4:35PM |
| Wager: | MIN +7 |
| Cover Probability: | 55.44% |
| Cover Edge: | 5.85% |
| SEA @ GB | 1/12 6:40PM |
| Wager: | SEA +4 |
| Cover Probability: | 55.32% |
| Cover Edge: | 5.61% |
Week 16 saw us lose our only bet. Christmas is ruined.
| BAL @ CLE | 12/22 1:00PM |
| Wager: | CLE +10 |
| Cover Probability: | 55.15% |
| Cover Edge: | 5.28% |
/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_image/image/65295051/usa_today_13363775.0.jpg?resize=600%2C9999&ssl=1 "Week 3 Recap: The Tilt is Real")
Welcome to the recap blog. Weekly results don’t matter, but we want to track how we did and keep up to date stats, so we’ll use this space to see what happened. It’s always interesting to look at both your wins and loses and see what happened in the game — some bad calls or... Continue Reading →
That's right, bitches. We're back on the Chiefs, giving up 6.5 to the red hot Ravens at home. Regardless of if you bet this game, seeing if Lamar Jackson can keep up with Patrick Mahomes should be a fun watch.
But you should bet it, too.
| MIA @ DAL | 9/22 1:00pm |
| Wager | MIA +21 |
| Cover Probability: | 69.72% |
| Cover Edge: | 33.09% |
| NYJ @ NE | 9/22 1:00pm |
| Wager: | NYJ +22.5 |
| Cover Probability: | 60.18% |
| Cover Edge: | 14.88% |
| BAL @ KC | 9/22 1:00pm |
| Wager: | KC -6.5 |
| Cover Probability: | 57.23% |
| Cover Edge: | 9.26% |
| PIT @ SF | 9/22 4:25pm |
| Wager: | SF -6.5 |
| Cover Probability: | 56.38% |
| Cover Edge: | 7.63% |
We went 4-0 week 1. To be nice to our bookie, we decided to take 3 losers. It's common courtesy, really.
/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_image/image/65205621/1173210317.jpg.0.jpg?resize=600%2C9999&ssl=1 "Breakdown: Baltimore -13.5 over Arizona")
Who says the model doesn't like big favorites? We'll gladly take the Ravens over the Cardinals. You can start with two touchdowns, it's fine.
This week was a bit different, since we recommended a wong teaser - the logic behind that is explained here. The recap is used to track progress on how our bets are doing throughout the season. Since it's virtually impossible to count things like moneylines and teasers into a record, we count these bets exclusively... Continue Reading →
Week 14 is officially official. We had a bad week. It happens. If you're following a handicapper who doesn't talk about these, they're just fucking lying. Anyway, let's break it down: Cincinnati @ LA Chargers (-14)Vegas: LAC – 14DomModel: LAC – 20.588Recommendation: LAC -14Analysis The Chargers came away with a victory here, but they shouldn't be happy about their... Continue Reading →
