NFL betting, done brilliantly
Recommended bets for the week, based on the model's output. Full results for all games are here.
| Time | Matchup | Wager |
|---|---|---|
| SUN 1:00PM | CIN @ IND | IND -7.5 |
| SUN 4:25PM | GB @ TB | TB +1.0 |
| SUN 4:05PM | NYJ @ MIA | NYJ +9.5 |
| SUN 1:00PM | CLE @ PIT | PIT -3.0 |
Recommended bets for the week, based on the model's output. Full results for all games are here.
| Time | Matchup | Wager |
|---|---|---|
| SUN 1:00PM | CAR @ ATL | ATL -2.0 |
| TNF 8:20PM | TB @ CHI | TB -3.5 |
| SUN 1:00PM | PHI @ PIT | PIT -7.0 |
| SUN 1:00PM MNF 8:15PM | LAR @ WAS LAC @ NO | LAR -1.5 (teaser) NO -1.5 (teaser) |
Recommended bets for the week, based on the model's output. Full results for all games are here.
| Time | Matchup | Wager |
|---|---|---|
| TNF 8:20PM | DEN @ NYJ | NYJ +1.0 |
| SUN 1:00PM | ARI @ CAR | ARI -3.5 |
| SUN 1:00PM | SEA @ MIA | SEA -6.5 |
| SUN 1:00PM | CLE @ DAL | DAL -4.5 |
Recommended bets for the week, based on the model's output. Full results for all games are here.
We recommend doubling size on Pittsburgh this week due to high wager strength.
| Time | Matchup | Wager |
|---|---|---|
| SUN 1:00PM | HOU @ PIT | PIT -4.0 |
| TNF 8:20PM | MIA @ JAX | JAX -3.0 |
| SUN 1:00PM | LAR @ BUF | LAR +2.5 |
| SUN 1:00PM | CIN @ PHI | PHI -6.0 |
| SNF 8:20PM | GB @ NO | NO -3.0 |
| SUN 4:25PM | TB @ DEN | TB -6.0 |
Recommended bets for the week, based on the model's output. Full results for all games are here.
| Time | Matchup | Wager |
|---|---|---|
| SUN 1:00PM | DEN @ PIT | PIT -7.5 |
| SUN 1:00PM | CAR @ TB | TB -9.0 |
| SUN 4:00PM | WAS @ ARI | ARI -6.5 |
Looking back at a successful start to the season. The Patriots took down the Dolphins, the Rams took a close one on SNF, the Ravens won in a blowout, and Carson Wentz pissed me off.
The model thinks 9 point spreads are silly. At the time of writing, the line has moved away from the model and is now down to 7.5 That rarely happens, but is a nice treat if you didn't get your bets in.
Time Matchup Wager SUN 1:00PM MIA @ NE NE -6.5 SUN 1:00PM PHI @ WAS PHI -6.0 SNF 8:20PM DAL @ LAR LAR +3.0 SUN 1:00PM CLE @ BAL BAL -9.0
Recommended bets for the week, based on the model's output. Full results for all games are here.
All 4 dogs, baby
| HOU @ KC | 1/12 3:05PM |
| Wager: | HOU +9.5 |
| Cover Probability: | 56.05% |
| Cover Edge: | 7.01% |
| TEN @ BAL | 1/11 8:15PM |
| Wager | TEN +9.5 |
| Cover Probability: | 55.6% |
| Cover Edge: | 6.15% |
| MIN @ SF | 1/11 4:35PM |
| Wager: | MIN +7 |
| Cover Probability: | 55.44% |
| Cover Edge: | 5.85% |
| SEA @ GB | 1/12 6:40PM |
| Wager: | SEA +4 |
| Cover Probability: | 55.32% |
| Cover Edge: | 5.61% |
Week 16 saw us lose our only bet. Christmas is ruined.
