This week was a bit different, since we recommended a wong teaser - the logic behind that is explained here. The recap is used to track progress on how our bets are doing throughout the season. Since it's virtually impossible to count things like moneylines and teasers into a record, we count these bets exclusively... Continue Reading →
Ah, the 2018 NFL regular season comes to a close. I took a look back at how we did and continue to track progress.
We have a 3 pack of games we are recommending in week 17. I break down the motivation for each team, injuries, matchup, and make fun of Pete Carroll.
By "messed up," I really mean "got lazy." Either way, it was a rough week at FirstAndThirty. I've stressed all year how important it is to get bets in early. Both of us have busy lives, making it difficult to look into the games in the detail that we want to early in the week.... Continue Reading →
I'm doing an abbreviated version of this, because it's Saturday morning and nobody is going to read it. Essentially, we dropped the ball. It was a busy week, but we still should have been able to get our recommended bets out earlier. It's another perfect example as to why you need to get your bets... Continue Reading →
Week 14 is officially official. We had a bad week. It happens. If you're following a handicapper who doesn't talk about these, they're just fucking lying. Anyway, let's break it down: Cincinnati @ LA Chargers (-14)Vegas: LAC – 14DomModel: LAC – 20.588Recommendation: LAC -14Analysis The Chargers came away with a victory here, but they shouldn't be happy about their... Continue Reading →
The model likes the Seahawks -3 over the Vikings. This is one of those games that I have zero idea how to predict, and that's why I let a model do it for me. The model is my nerd, doing my homework. Thank you, model.
by Brady Week 13 is officially in the books. We recommended 3 bets, lost 1 easily, won 1 easily, and narrowly won a third for a 2-1 record. The model is rolling. Let's get into it. Kansas City (-15) @ OaklandVegas: OAK +15DomModel: OAK +19.506Recommendation: KC -15Analysis Let's start with the bad. We officially recommended KC before the... Continue Reading →