Recommended Bets: Divisional Round

All 4 dogs, baby

Houston +9.5



HOU @ KC1/12 3:05PM
Wager:HOU +9.5
Cover Probability:56.05%
Cover Edge:7.01%

Tennessee +9.5


TEN @ BAL1/11 8:15PM
WagerTEN +9.5
Cover Probability:55.6%
Cover Edge:6.15%

Minnesota +7



MIN @ SF1/11 4:35PM
Wager:MIN +7
Cover Probability:55.44%
Cover Edge:5.85%

Seattle +4.0



SEA @ GB1/12 6:40PM
Wager:SEA +4
Cover Probability:55.32%
Cover Edge:5.61%

Recommended Bets: Wildcard Weekend

Tennessee +5



TEN @ NE1/4 8:15PM
Wager:TEN +5
Cover Probability:54.32%
Cover Edge:3.69%

Minnesota +7.5


MIN @ NOR1/5 1:05PM
WagerMIN +7.5
Cover Probability:53.9%
Cover Edge:2.9%

Buffalo +2.5



BUF @ HOU1/4 4:35PM
Wager:BUF +2.5
Cover Probability:53.85%
Cover Edge:2.81%

Philadelphia +1.5


PHI @ SEA1/5 4:4PM
WagerPHI +1.5
Cover Probability:53.67%
Cover Edge:2.45%

Recommended Bets: Week 8

The model also likes the Seahawks over the Falcons, but that game is mostly not available at most books because of the Matt Ryan injury. Recommending it feels disingenuous, so we simply won't.

WAS +16.0



WAS @ MIN10/24 8:20pm
Wager:WAS +16.0
Cover Probability:53.68%
Cover Edge:2.48%

Miami +14.5


MIA @ PIT10/28 8:15pm
WagerMIA +14.5
Cover Probability:55.15%
Cover Edge:5.29%

Recommended Bets: Week 7

Miami +17.0


MIA @ BUF10/20 1:00pm
WagerMIA +17.0
Cover Probability:60.37%
Cover Edge:15.25%

Los Angeles Rams -3.0



LAR @ ATL10/20 1:00pm
Wager:LAR -3.0
Cover Probability:55.38%
Cover Edge:5.72%

New Orleans Saints +3.0



NO @ CHI10/20 4:25pm
Wager:NO +3.0
Cover Probability:53.70%
Cover Edge:2.52%

Los Angeles Chargers +2.0



LAC @ TEN10/20 4:05pm
Wager:LAC +2.0
Cover Probability:53.66%
Cover Edge:2.45%

Recommended Bets: Week 6

Washington -3.5


WAS @ MIA10/13 1:00pm
WagerWAS -3.5
Cover Probability:61.09%
Cover Edge:16.62%

Kansas City -5



HOU @ KC10/13 1:00pm
Wager:KC -5
Cover Probability:53.38%
Cover Edge:1.92%

Wildcard Recap: All Hail The Wong

This week was a bit different, since we recommended a wong teaser - the logic behind that is explained here. The recap is used to track progress on how our bets are doing throughout the season. Since it's virtually impossible to count things like moneylines and teasers into a record, we count these bets exclusively... Continue Reading →

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