NFL betting, done brilliantly
All 4 dogs, baby
| HOU @ KC | 1/12 3:05PM |
| Wager: | HOU +9.5 |
| Cover Probability: | 56.05% |
| Cover Edge: | 7.01% |
| TEN @ BAL | 1/11 8:15PM |
| Wager | TEN +9.5 |
| Cover Probability: | 55.6% |
| Cover Edge: | 6.15% |
| MIN @ SF | 1/11 4:35PM |
| Wager: | MIN +7 |
| Cover Probability: | 55.44% |
| Cover Edge: | 5.85% |
| SEA @ GB | 1/12 6:40PM |
| Wager: | SEA +4 |
| Cover Probability: | 55.32% |
| Cover Edge: | 5.61% |
| TEN @ NE | 1/4 8:15PM |
| Wager: | TEN +5 |
| Cover Probability: | 54.32% |
| Cover Edge: | 3.69% |
| MIN @ NOR | 1/5 1:05PM |
| Wager | MIN +7.5 |
| Cover Probability: | 53.9% |
| Cover Edge: | 2.9% |
| BUF @ HOU | 1/4 4:35PM |
| Wager: | BUF +2.5 |
| Cover Probability: | 53.85% |
| Cover Edge: | 2.81% |
| PHI @ SEA | 1/5 4:4PM |
| Wager | PHI +1.5 |
| Cover Probability: | 53.67% |
| Cover Edge: | 2.45% |
Recapping the last week of the season that ended up a very tilting loss and my bed covered in my own tears.
Part 2 of our breakdown discusses what's at stake for the Chiefs as well as me bragging about betting the Bears at +1.
| NO @ CAR | 12/29 1:00PM |
| Wager: | CAR +13 |
| Cover Probability: | 58.69% |
| Cover Edge: | 12.05% |
| SF @ SEA | 12/29 8:20PM |
| Wager | SEA +3.5 |
| Cover Probability: | 54.34% |
| Cover Edge: | 3.74% |
| LAC @ KC | 12/29 1:00PM |
| Wager: | LAC +9 |
| Cover Probability: | 53.82% |
| Cover Edge: | 2.75% |
| CHI @ MIN | 12/29 1:00PM |
| Wager | CHI +1 |
| Cover Probability: | 53.48% |
| Cover Edge: | 2.75% |
Week 8 was kind to us as we took down both of our bets. The model called on us to take the Dolphins and Redskins, and both of those sad excuses for a football team covered.
The model wants the massive underdogs this week, and we start things off with the Redskins +16 over the Vikings on Thursday night. Please keep your Kirk Cousins revenge game narratives at home.
Ah, the 2018 NFL regular season comes to a close. I took a look back at how we did and continue to track progress.
We have a 3 pack of games we are recommending in week 17. I break down the motivation for each team, injuries, matchup, and make fun of Pete Carroll.
Week 14 is officially official. We had a bad week. It happens. If you're following a handicapper who doesn't talk about these, they're just fucking lying. Anyway, let's break it down: Cincinnati @ LA Chargers (-14)Vegas: LAC – 14DomModel: LAC – 20.588Recommendation: LAC -14Analysis The Chargers came away with a victory here, but they shouldn't be happy about their... Continue Reading →
