Breakdown: Washington (+5) over Dallas

Dallas @ Washington
Recommendation: WAS +5
Cover Probability: 54.97%
Cover Edge: 4.94%

Key Injuries:
Washington Redskins:
-RB Derrius Guice (knee) was injured week 1 and is on IR.
-TE Jordan Reed (concussion) was INACTIVE week 1 and is OUT week 2.
-LT Trent Williams (holdout) is OUT indefinitely.
-DT Jonathan Allen (sprained MCL) was injured week 1 and is expected to miss time.
-CB Fabian Moreau (ankle) was INACTIVE week 1 after not practicing all week. He is limited in practice to start the week.

Dallas Cowboys: 
-DT Daniel Ross (shoulder) was placed on season-ending IR.

Breakdown
When Dallas has the ball:
The Cowboys rolled 35-17 over the Giants last week, and looked damn impressive doing it. The model, being a computer, is immune to recency bias and is saying let’s bet on the other guys, baby. (I really wish the model could talk, sigh).

Dak Prescott got off to an okay start, putting up 405 yards and 4TDs with 0 INTs while completing 78% of his passes. There’s a few theories floating around that could explain such an absurd performance:
-The Cowboys signed a new QB with the same name and also looks exactly like Prescott
-Dak is actually good now
-New OC Kellen Moore is the real deal
-It’s one game against the Giants, dummy

Either way, it was a hell of a performance from Prescott, and if you’re a Cowboys fan it’s hard not to be excited. The offensive line is still unreal, Zeke ended his holdout, and they actually have guys to throw to between Amari Cooper, Michael Gallup, and Randall Cobb.

Meanwhile, the Redskins defense got off to a tough start against the Eagles. They gave up a casual 32 points and in general had no answer for DeSean Jackson, who ran the old “run past everybody and score touchdowns” play. In general, it’s a lackluster defense where it’s a hard to see who could possibly step up. They lost D.J. Swearinger Sr., Pernell McPhee, and Zach Brown in the offseason and din’t do much to replace any of them. It’s a total team effort of “meh” with a lot of suck thrown in.

When the Redskins have the ball:

Image result for case keenum


The Redkins handed the ball over the check-down machine Case Keenum. Keenum seems like one of those guys who will never leave the NFL. In 5 years, some starter will get hurt and Keenum will enter the game. “Oh, he’s still playing, good for him,” you’ll say out loud. That’s who Keenum is.

The Redskins offensive line definitely had potential, but their injured so often that they receive money from the Red Cross. Even worse, their star tackle Tent Williams continues to hold out. The Redskins brought in Donald Penn to take over at tackle – he’s had a decent career but was one of the worst tackles in football last year. The rest of the line is just like the defense, there’s just simply nothing exciting or inspiring.

Right now, the most interesting part of the Redskins offense is rookie WR Terry McLaurin. McLaurin got a hefty workload last week, playing on 59 snaps and racking up 125 yards and a touchdown. Paul Richardson and Trey Quinn will handle the rest of the receiving duties, and expect Vernon Davis to play over Jordan Reed (concussion) at TE. In the run game, the corpose of Adrian Peterson will take over after Derrius Guice hurt his knee last week.

The Cowboys on defense rely on a few play-makers to make up for some obvious holes. Demarcus Lawrence is a beast at rushing the passer, and could pose problems for the Redskins all day. Sean Lee and Leighton Vander Esch is probably the best 1-2 punch at linebacker in the league. Everywhere else is a bit of a problem, particularly at corner. Chidobe Awuzie gave up a generous 99.6 QB rating when targeted last year, and he starts opposite Anthony Brown who was at 97.9. The Redkins offense has problems, but there’s places to exploit here.

Let’s hope the Skins keep it within 5.

That’s it for now, bitches.


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