Breakdown: LA Rams (+3) over Dallas

Dallas @ LA Rams
Recommended Wager: LAR +3
Strength: 4.15

Key Injuries
Dallas Cowboys: 
-CB Jourdan Lewis (ankle) did not practice on Wednesday or Thursday.
IR: T La’el Collins (hip), LB Sean Lee (sports hernia), CB Maurice Canady (opt out)

Los Angeles Rams:
IR: DT A’Shawn Robinson (undisclosed), OLB Tarrell Lewis (knee)

Spread breakdown: The line opened at 2.5, moved to 3 when the model was run, and is now back to 2.5. Naturally, if you haven’t already bet this, you shouldn’t. #getyourbetsinearly

Matchup Breakdown:
When Dallas has the ball:
The Cowboys offense has flat out scary potential. They locked in Dak Prescott in the offseason, securing a very solid QB for the future. They’ll return one of the better offensive lines in football, and added Oklahoma standout CeeDee Lamb with the 17th pick in the draft. Along with Amari Cooper and Michael Gallup, this is probably the best receiving trio in football. Naturally, Zeke will still feast in the backfield. There isn’t a weakness in this offense anywhere.

Any talk about the Rams defense must start with the best player in football, Aaron Donald. Playing on the inside, anybody who makes an argument that the best pass rusher in football isn’t Donald should be banned from talking football. Donald is routinely double teamed, and it opens up opportunity for other Rams edge rushers to clean up. Last year it was Dante Fowler (11.5 sacks), but since he departed for Atlanta, that should open the door for Samson Ebukam and Ogbonnia Okoronkwo (thanks copy and paste) to pick up that role. After losing Cory Littleton in free agency, the Rams probably have the worst line backing cores in the NFL. The secondary should be solid, however, lead by Jalen Ramsey and Troy Hill at corner.

When the Rams have the ball:
Jared Goff enters his 5th season as the Rams signal caller. Throughout his career he’s played well at home and in a clean pocket. Lucky for us, he’s at home. Unlucky for us, the Rams offensive line is a disaster — it’s essentially four revolving doors and LT Andrew Whitworth. RT Rob Havenstein had one of the most dramatic drop offs in play between 2018 and 2019, leaving Rams fans to hope that he was simply injured and he can return to elite play. At receiver, the Rams traded Brandin Cooks to the Texans, leaving Josh Reynolds as the next man up behind Robert Woods and Cooper Kupp. Along with TE Tyler Higbee, this is still a team with plenty of weapons. At RB, Todd Gurley is now with the Falcons, and the Rams drafted Cam Akers out of Florida St in the second round to replace him.

The Cowboys’s pass rush will be lead by Demarcus Lawrence and newly acquired Everson Griffen, but there isn’t much after that. They did bring in Dontari Poe and Gerald McCoy from Carolina, but Poe is a shadow of his old self and McCoy had to be released with an injury settlement. The true strength of the defense is at linebacker, lead by Leighton Vander Esch and Jaylon Smith. The secondary, however, will have major issues with the loss of Byron Jones (now in Miami). They’re hoping that second round rookie Trevon Diggs can hit the ground running, but that’s a lot to ask for any rookie corner, but even more so with a limited camp and zero preseason.

That’s it for now, bitches.



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